Will AI replace バーテンダー?AI replacement risk 21% and how the work is changing

Japan Food Service Confidence ★★★★★

Average annual pay
¥3.79M
≈ $24,107
Top pay (est.)
¥6.18M
Top 10% ¥5.38M
Pay in 5 years
¥4.50Mest.
2031
Pay in 10 years
¥5.35Mest.
¥4.60M–¥6.21M
Outlook score
61/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
21%
Low
Labor demand
Very high
Openings-to-applicants 2.38x

Will AI replace バーテンダー? AI replacement risk

21%
Low
Ranked #92 safest from AI among all Japanese occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using the MHLW job tag survey on work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for バーテンダー

Key skills

Active Listening
4.6
Speaking
3.7
Social Perceptiveness
3.5
Reading Comprehension
3.1
Active Learning
3.0
Instructing
3.0
Service Orientation
3.0
Writing
2.9

Skill levels from the MHLW job tag worker survey.

Key knowledge areas

Customer and Personal Service
3.2
Sales and Marketing
1.8
Psychology
1.7
English Language
1.5
Administration and Management
1.4
Sociology and Anthropology
1.4
Communications and Media
1.2
Economics and Accounting
1.2

What the work involves

Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal RelationshipsCommunicating with People Outside the OrganizationUpdating and Using Relevant KnowledgeJudging the Qualities of Objects, Services, or PeopleGetting InformationThinking CreativelyMaking Decisions and Solving ProblemsOrganizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work

Important abilities

Problem SensitivityMemorizationOral ExpressionOral ComprehensionOriginalitySpeech Clarity

Licenses and certifications (Japan)

No specific license or certification is required.

Education of workers

Training before entry

Related work experience

Difficulty of entry: ★☆☆☆☆ Easy to enter (from education, training, experience, licenses)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: Basic Survey on Wage Structure (2025), Population Census and Hello Work employment statistics as published on the MHLW job tag site (retrieved Nov 1, 2026); Occupational Information Database (JILPT). Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.