Jobs least likely to be replaced by AI in the U.S.

Lowest AI replacement risk first. Hands-on, physical and people-facing occupations rank highest. (841 occupations)

Highest payPay in 10 yearsOutlookSafest from AIMost exposed to AIFastest growingFastest pay growthLargest employment
Country:United StatesJapan
#OccupationMedian payIn 10 yrsOutlookAI riskGrowth (10 yr)
1 Stonemasons
Construction · 7,820 workers
$57,390 $76,100est. 45/100 6% −5.4%
1 Terrazzo Workers and Finishers
Construction · 1,180 workers
$76,170 $97,800est. 48/100 6% −13.0%
1 Helpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons
Construction · 7,490 workers
$40,470 $55,500est. 48/100 6% +1.5%
4 Brickmasons and Blockmasons
Construction · 53K workers
$62,120 $84,900est. 54/100 7% +1.1%
4 Carpet Installers
Construction · 14K workers
$50,340 $64,600est. 38/100 7% −16.4%
4 Electricians
Construction · 757K workers
$63,190 $89,100est. 78/100 7% +9.2%
4 Pipelayers
Construction · 33K workers
$49,000 $65,600est. 41/100 7% −3.1%
4 Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters
Construction · 466K workers
$63,800 $89,700est. 76/100 7% +6.8%
4 Reinforcing Iron and Rebar Workers
Construction · 14K workers
$58,970 $78,200est. 48/100 7% −5.3%
4 Roofers
Construction · 135K workers
$55,440 $77,400est. 65/100 7% +5.3%
4 Helpers--Carpenters
Construction · 22K workers
$43,780 $59,100est. 47/100 7% −1.7%
4 Helpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters
Construction · 44K workers
$42,360 $58,300est. 54/100 7% +2.4%
4 Roustabouts, Oil and Gas
Construction · 45K workers
$46,960 $65,000est. 63/100 7% +3.6%
14 Firefighters
Protective Services · 346K workers
$59,280 $82,000est. 58/100 8% +3.7%
14 Lifeguards, Ski Patrol, and Other Recreational Protective Service Workers
Protective Services · 158K workers
$33,580 $46,900est. 64/100 8% +5.5%
14 Tree Trimmers and Pruners $50,960 $70,700est. 70/100 8% +4.2%
14 Floor Layers, Except Carpet, Wood, and Hard Tiles
Construction · 24K workers
$56,460 $79,600est. 69/100 8% +9.0%
14 Floor Sanders and Finishers
Construction · 3,720 workers
$50,440 $69,000est. 52/100 8% +1.4%
14 Construction Laborers
Construction · 1.1M workers
$47,120 $66,300est. 67/100 8% +7.3%
14 Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall
Construction · 44K workers
$49,120 $67,500est. 48/100 8% +2.4%
14 Plasterers and Stucco Masons
Construction · 19K workers
$57,660 $79,400est. 56/100 8% +2.8%
14 Structural Iron and Steel Workers
Construction · 68K workers
$62,780 $86,600est. 62/100 8% +3.1%
14 Continuous Mining Machine Operators
Construction · 14K workers
$61,810 $85,300est. 61/100 8% +3.2%
24 Carpenters
Construction · 670K workers
$60,580 $83,800est. 67/100 9% +3.9%
24 Glaziers
Construction · 58K workers
$57,080 $78,200est. 51/100 9% +1.9%
24 Painters, Construction and Maintenance
Construction · 225K workers
$49,400 $68,100est. 66/100 9% +3.0%
24 Paperhangers
Construction · 1,570 workers
$52,140 $72,300est. 67/100 9% +4.3%
24 Fence Erectors
Construction · 24K workers
$47,980 $66,900est. 62/100 9% +5.6%
24 Segmental Pavers — —est. 71/100 9% —
24 Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas
Construction · 13K workers
$67,890 $92,600est. 57/100 9% +0.8%
24 Service Unit Operators, Oil and Gas
Construction · 43K workers
$58,160 $79,400est. 52/100 9% +1.1%
24 Helpers--Extraction Workers
Construction · 6,700 workers
$47,730 $65,400est. 52/100 9% +1.7%
33 Healthcare Support Workers, All Other
Caregiving · 110K workers
$48,430 $67,300est. 70/100 10% +4.8%
33 First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers
Protective Services · 99K workers
$93,530 $129,200est. 67/100 10% +3.7%
33 First-Line Supervisors of Protective Service Workers, All Other
Protective Services · 21K workers
$76,400 $104,600est. 60/100 10% +1.9%
33 Protective Service Workers, All Other
Protective Services · 82K workers
$42,540 $58,600est. 66/100 10% +3.0%
33 Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists
Beauty & Personal Care · 306K workers
$35,790 $50,400est. 69/100 10% +7.7%
33 Shampooers
Beauty & Personal Care · 8,070 workers
$32,600 $45,500est. 64/100 10% +5.6%
33 Drywall and Ceiling Tile Installers
Construction · 83K workers
$58,930 $80,900est. 56/100 10% +2.5%
33 Solar Photovoltaic Installers
Construction · 31K workers
$53,140 $75,000est. 78/100 10% +36.5%
33 Derrick Operators, Oil and Gas
Construction · 11K workers
$58,620 $80,200est. 52/100 10% +1.6%
33 Excavating and Loading Machine and Dragline Operators, Surface Mining
Construction · 34K workers
$57,430 $78,300est. 47/100 10% +1.0%
43 Dancers
Entertainment · 8,130 workers
— —est. 67/100 11% +2.2%
43 Exercise Trainers and Group Fitness Instructors
Sports & Fitness · 323K workers
$47,160 $66,300est. 73/100 11% +7.3%
43 Tile and Stone Setters
Construction · 36K workers
$55,690 $78,600est. 69/100 11% +9.8%
43 Insulation Workers, Mechanical
Construction · 26K workers
$58,340 $81,100est. 58/100 11% +5.1%
43 Sheet Metal Workers
Construction · 120K workers
$61,800 $84,800est. 60/100 11% +2.5%
43 Helpers--Electricians
Construction · 64K workers
$42,670 $58,000est. 50/100 11% +0.6%
43 Helpers--Roofers
Construction · 6,030 workers
$44,160 $59,900est. 46/100 11% −0.1%
43 Loading and Moving Machine Operators, Underground Mining
Construction · 5,930 workers
$74,500 $95,300est. 40/100 11% −15.8%
Pay and employment figures are national statistics (U.S.: BLS OEWS and Employment Projections; Japan: MHLW job tag). Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. How to read the data