Projected pay 10 years from now from the Shigoto Zukan model: current pay compounded at an annual rate that reflects projected employment growth, wage momentum and AI replacement risk. (813 occupations)
| # | Occupation | Median pay | In 10 yrs | Outlook | AI risk | Growth (10 yr) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pediatric Surgeons Healthcare · 1,190 workers |
$559,030 | $763,200est. | 75/100 | 15% | +2.0% |
| 2 | Cardiologists Healthcare · 17K workers |
$496,010 | $686,400est. | 71/100 | 15% | +4.8% |
| 3 | Surgeons, All Other Healthcare · 25K workers |
$414,010 | $570,700est. | 65/100 | 15% | +4.0% |
| 4 | Radiologists Healthcare · 27K workers |
$420,860 | $565,200est. | 58/100 | 47% | +3.4% |
| 5 | Anesthesiologists Healthcare · 39K workers |
$391,490 | $536,300est. | 66/100 | 21% | +3.6% |
| 6 | Orthopedic Surgeons, Except Pediatric Healthcare · 14K workers |
$358,550 | $494,300est. | 69/100 | 15% | +4.0% |
| 7 | Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons Healthcare · 4,910 workers |
$352,220 | $484,400est. | 69/100 | 29% | +5.6% |
| 8 | Dermatologists Healthcare · 11K workers |
$328,730 | $456,700est. | 72/100 | 23% | +6.8% |
| 9 | Emergency Medicine Physicians Healthcare · 33K workers |
$335,550 | $455,500est. | 62/100 | 31% | +3.2% |
| 10 | Prosthodontists Healthcare · 870 workers |
$311,180 | $429,300est. | 82/100 | 26% | +5.8% |
| 11 | Physicians, Pathologists Healthcare · 11K workers |
$312,400 | $416,600est. | 59/100 | 54% | +4.8% |
| 12 | Ophthalmologists, Except Pediatric Healthcare · 8,950 workers |
$300,080 | $408,700est. | 64/100 | 35% | +4.5% |
| 13 | Orthodontists Healthcare · 6,210 workers |
$289,140 | $396,700est. | 66/100 | 35% | +6.0% |
| 14 | Obstetricians and Gynecologists Healthcare · 21K workers |
$292,910 | $396,400est. | 59/100 | 25% | +1.7% |
| 15 | Psychiatrists Healthcare · 28K workers |
$281,870 | $386,700est. | 67/100 | 43% | +7.2% |
| 16 | Physicians, All Other Healthcare · 343K workers |
$265,930 | $365,500est. | 63/100 | 15% | +3.4% |
| 17 | General Internal Medicine Physicians Healthcare · 67K workers |
$256,560 | $347,800est. | 62/100 | 38% | +4.0% |
| 18 | Neurologists Healthcare · 11K workers |
$248,560 | $339,200est. | 66/100 | 45% | +6.4% |
| 19 | Family Medicine Physicians Healthcare · 108K workers |
$244,180 | $332,800est. | 61/100 | 26% | +3.3% |
| 20 | Nurse Anesthetists Healthcare · 52K workers |
$236,590 | $332,100est. | 72/100 | 28% | +9.7% |
| 21 | Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers Aviation · 104K workers |
$232,140 | $315,800est. | 74/100 | 53% | +8.3% |
| 22 | Dentists, All Other Specialists Healthcare · 5,230 workers |
$224,990 | $306,100est. | 56/100 | 15% | +1.3% |
| 23 | Pediatricians, General Healthcare · 39K workers |
$210,040 | $284,000est. | 57/100 | 25% | +1.5% |
| 24 | Chief Executives Management & Consulting · 204K workers |
$213,990 | $281,500est. | 64/100 | 56% | +3.2% |
| 25 | Computer and Information Systems Managers Management & Consulting · 671K workers |
$175,140 | $238,600est. | 68/100 | 65% | +15.8% |
| 26 | Dentists, General Healthcare · 124K workers |
$170,950 | $236,200est. | 69/100 | 23% | +5.7% |
| 27 | Industrial-Organizational Psychologists · 790 workers |
$193,950 | $232,600est. | 67/100 | 93% | +6.5% |
| 28 | Architectural and Engineering Managers Management & Consulting · 220K workers |
$171,270 | $225,900est. | 62/100 | 59% | +5.5% |
| 29 | Physicists Engineering & Science · 20K workers |
$172,250 | $220,500est. | 60/100 | 72% | +7.2% |
| 30 | Financial Managers Management & Consulting · 842K workers |
$166,570 | $220,300est. | 65/100 | 65% | +9.7% |
| 31 | Natural Sciences Managers Management & Consulting · 109K workers |
$167,220 | $220,200est. | 68/100 | 64% | +8.2% |
| 32 | Marketing Managers Marketing & PR · 395K workers |
$166,790 | $218,900est. | 64/100 | 63% | +6.9% |
| 33 | Podiatrists Healthcare · 9,680 workers |
$160,300 | $215,800est. | 56/100 | 34% | +2.0% |
| 34 | Computer Hardware Engineers Engineering & Science · 77K workers |
$161,740 | $209,600est. | 60/100 | 71% | +9.1% |
| 35 | Lawyers Legal · 754K workers |
$159,670 | $204,900est. | 55/100 | 67% | +4.7% |
| 36 | Human Resources Managers Management & Consulting · 221K workers |
$149,280 | $196,300est. | 62/100 | 60% | +5.5% |
| 37 | Managers, All Other Management & Consulting · 622K workers |
$141,900 | $194,300est. | 78/100 | 30% | +4.9% |
| 38 | Judges, Magistrate Judges, and Magistrates Legal · 24K workers |
$153,990 | $192,900est. | 49/100 | 72% | +2.8% |
| 39 | Physician Assistants Healthcare · 162K workers |
$135,880 | $191,700est. | 72/100 | 39% | +21.1% |
| 39 | Medical Dosimetrists Healthcare · 3,410 workers |
$147,470 | $191,700est. | 55/100 | 63% | +5.0% |
| 41 | Sales Managers Marketing & PR · 637K workers |
$148,270 | $191,200est. | 58/100 | 65% | +4.5% |
| 42 | Air Traffic Controllers Aviation · 23K workers |
$148,080 | $190,600est. | 52/100 | 61% | +1.7% |
| 43 | Purchasing Managers Management & Consulting · 84K workers |
$148,080 | $189,900est. | 57/100 | 66% | +4.0% |
| 44 | Pharmacists Healthcare · 322K workers |
$140,910 | $189,400est. | 59/100 | 52% | +5.2% |
| 45 | Nurse Midwives Healthcare · 7,920 workers |
$134,040 | $189,100est. | 71/100 | 27% | +11.5% |
| 46 | Optometrists Healthcare · 43K workers |
$136,570 | $188,800est. | 65/100 | 48% | +9.5% |
| 47 | Computer and Information Research Scientists IT & Software · 37K workers |
$140,300 | $187,800est. | 64/100 | 81% | +21.8% |
| 48 | Public Relations Managers Marketing & PR · 75K workers |
$146,910 | $187,200est. | 60/100 | 71% | +5.7% |
| 49 | Compensation and Benefits Managers Management & Consulting · 23K workers |
$149,230 | $187,100est. | 47/100 | 69% | +1.1% |
| 50 | Nurse Practitioners Healthcare · 323K workers |
$132,300 | $186,600est. | 79/100 | 37% | +41.0% |