Projected pay 10 years from now from the Shigoto Zukan model: current pay compounded at an annual rate that reflects projected employment growth, wage momentum and AI replacement risk. (813 occupations)
| # | Occupation | Median pay | In 10 yrs | Outlook | AI risk | Growth (10 yr) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 751 | Locker Room, Coatroom, and Dressing Room Attendants · 16K workers |
$36,300 | $49,500est. | 56/100 | 46% | +6.4% |
| 751 | Recreation Workers · 331K workers |
$36,560 | $49,500est. | 58/100 | 42% | +4.3% |
| 751 | Textile Knitting and Weaving Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Manufacturing & Repair · 13K workers |
$39,530 | $49,500est. | 31/100 | 39% | −13.7% |
| 754 | Food Preparation and Serving Related Workers, All Other Food Service · 85K workers |
$35,840 | $49,400est. | 63/100 | 25% | +5.5% |
| 754 | Baggage Porters and Bellhops Hospitality · 29K workers |
$37,080 | $49,400est. | 44/100 | 15% | −3.0% |
| 756 | File Clerks Office & Admin · 73K workers |
$43,600 | $49,300est. | 16/100 | 82% | −15.8% |
| 757 | Cleaners of Vehicles and Equipment Logistics · 380K workers |
$35,830 | $49,200est. | 54/100 | 21% | +3.9% |
| 758 | Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers Manufacturing & Repair · 7,450 workers |
$37,800 | $49,000est. | 37/100 | 30% | −6.5% |
| 759 | Automotive and Watercraft Service Attendants Transportation · 102K workers |
$35,670 | $48,900est. | 55/100 | 21% | +3.8% |
| 760 | Gambling Service Workers, All Other · 14K workers |
$36,310 | $48,800est. | 55/100 | — | +4.2% |
| 761 | Textile Winding, Twisting, and Drawing Out Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Manufacturing & Repair · 22K workers |
$38,670 | $48,700est. | 30/100 | 43% | −10.3% |
| 762 | Farmworkers, Farm, Ranch, and Aquacultural Animals Agriculture · 33K workers |
$36,670 | $48,600est. | 47/100 | 20% | −3.2% |
| 763 | Food Servers, Nonrestaurant Food Service · 294K workers |
$35,360 | $48,500est. | 56/100 | 25% | +4.5% |
| 763 | Motion Picture Projectionists · 1,480 workers |
$38,270 | $48,500est. | 33/100 | 53% | −6.2% |
| 763 | Textile Cutting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Manufacturing & Repair · 9,000 workers |
$38,760 | $48,500est. | 30/100 | 41% | −13.6% |
| 766 | Physical Therapist Aides Caregiving · 48K workers |
$35,240 | $48,400est. | 56/100 | 20% | +4.0% |
| 766 | Funeral Attendants · 31K workers |
$35,680 | $48,400est. | 51/100 | 29% | +2.6% |
| 766 | Office Machine Operators, Except Computer Office & Admin · 25K workers |
$40,960 | $48,400est. | 21/100 | 67% | −14.9% |
| 769 | Floral Designers Design · 41K workers |
$37,360 | $48,200est. | 36/100 | 42% | −5.6% |
| 770 | Waiters and Waitresses Food Service · 2.3M workers |
$35,230 | $48,000est. | 50/100 | 18% | +2.0% |
| 771 | Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners Cleaning & Building Services · 861K workers |
$35,510 | $47,900est. | 48/100 | 22% | +0.6% |
| 772 | Telephone Operators Office & Admin · 3,430 workers |
$41,740 | $47,600est. | 10/100 | 79% | −27.6% |
| 772 | Mail Clerks and Mail Machine Operators, Except Postal Service Office & Admin · 55K workers |
$39,280 | $47,600est. | 22/100 | 67% | −7.2% |
| 772 | Cutters and Trimmers, Hand Manufacturing & Repair · 6,060 workers |
$38,020 | $47,600est. | 26/100 | 41% | −18.9% |
| 775 | Laundry and Dry-Cleaning Workers Manufacturing & Repair · 198K workers |
$34,890 | $47,500est. | 51/100 | 35% | +4.3% |
| 776 | Bartenders Food Service · 756K workers |
$34,340 | $47,400est. | 58/100 | 20% | +5.0% |
| 776 | Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse Agriculture · 266K workers |
$35,660 | $47,400est. | 46/100 | 21% | −2.4% |
| 776 | Ambulance Drivers and Attendants, Except Emergency Medical Technicians Transportation · 13K workers |
$35,450 | $47,400est. | 41/100 | 22% | −1.3% |
| 779 | Gambling Dealers · 84K workers |
$34,320 | $47,200est. | 57/100 | 14% | +3.4% |
| 779 | Gambling Change Persons and Booth Cashiers Retail · 22K workers |
$36,220 | $47,200est. | 36/100 | 51% | −1.9% |
| 781 | Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers Food Service · 543K workers |
$33,980 | $47,100est. | 59/100 | 17% | +5.3% |
| 781 | Graders and Sorters, Agricultural Products Agriculture · 25K workers |
$35,730 | $47,100est. | 42/100 | 26% | −3.4% |
| 781 | Parking Attendants Transportation · 138K workers |
$35,150 | $47,100est. | 40/100 | 42% | +2.0% |
| 781 | Packers and Packagers, Hand Logistics · 560K workers |
$36,280 | $47,100est. | 33/100 | 38% | −5.0% |
| 785 | Cooks, Short Order Food Service · 139K workers |
$35,880 | $47,000est. | 40/100 | 25% | −5.2% |
| 785 | Retail Salespersons Retail · 3.9M workers |
$35,410 | $47,000est. | 40/100 | 39% | −0.3% |
| 787 | Lifeguards, Ski Patrol, and Other Recreational Protective Service Workers Protective Services · 158K workers |
$33,580 | $46,900est. | 64/100 | 8% | +5.5% |
| 787 | Textile Bleaching and Dyeing Machine Operators and Tenders Manufacturing & Repair · 5,310 workers |
$38,180 | $46,900est. | 28/100 | 54% | −12.5% |
| 789 | Childcare Workers Social Services · 519K workers |
$34,980 | $46,800est. | 48/100 | 16% | −2.0% |
| 789 | Gambling Cage Workers Finance · 14K workers |
$37,580 | $46,800est. | 24/100 | 64% | −3.1% |
| 791 | Dishwashers Food Service · 477K workers |
$34,810 | $46,700est. | 43/100 | 20% | −1.0% |
| 792 | School Bus Monitors Protective Services · 78K workers |
$35,100 | $46,600est. | 42/100 | 27% | −1.9% |
| 792 | Food Preparation Workers Food Service · 894K workers |
$35,320 | $46,600est. | 42/100 | 30% | −3.0% |
| 792 | Hotel, Motel, and Resort Desk Clerks Hospitality · 261K workers |
$35,070 | $46,600est. | 40/100 | 50% | +1.8% |
| 795 | Receptionists and Information Clerks Office & Admin · 910K workers |
$38,010 | $46,400est. | 29/100 | 73% | −1.7% |
| 796 | Textile, Apparel, and Furnishings Workers, All Other Manufacturing & Repair · 14K workers |
$37,280 | $46,300est. | 21/100 | 50% | −13.4% |
| 797 | Data Entry Keyers Office & Admin · 127K workers |
$41,340 | $46,200est. | 11/100 | 86% | −25.5% |
| 798 | Sewing Machine Operators Manufacturing & Repair · 105K workers |
$36,670 | $45,800est. | 28/100 | 45% | −15.1% |
| 799 | Shoe Machine Operators and Tenders Manufacturing & Repair · 3,280 workers |
$35,650 | $45,600est. | 32/100 | 44% | −6.9% |
| 800 | Shampooers Beauty & Personal Care · 8,070 workers |
$32,600 | $45,500est. | 64/100 | 10% | +5.6% |