Projected pay 10 years from now from the Shigoto Zukan model: current pay compounded at an annual rate that reflects projected employment growth, wage momentum and AI replacement risk. (813 occupations)
| # | Occupation | Median pay | In 10 yrs | Outlook | AI risk | Growth (10 yr) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 699 | Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand Logistics · 3.0M workers |
$40,240 | $54,200est. | 45/100 | 33% | +1.8% |
| 702 | Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers Cleaning & Building Services · 953K workers |
$39,150 | $54,100est. | 59/100 | 16% | +4.7% |
| 702 | Couriers and Messengers Logistics · 69K workers |
$39,200 | $54,100est. | 60/100 | 40% | +8.0% |
| 704 | Food Cooking Machine Operators and Tenders Manufacturing & Repair · 31K workers |
$41,590 | $53,900est. | 37/100 | 55% | −0.3% |
| 704 | Grinding and Polishing Workers, Hand Manufacturing & Repair · 11K workers |
$42,660 | $53,900est. | 26/100 | 28% | −19.2% |
| 706 | Occupational Therapy Aides Caregiving · 4,310 workers |
$39,160 | $53,800est. | 57/100 | 17% | +3.6% |
| 706 | Driver/Sales Workers Transportation · 409K workers |
$38,770 | $53,800est. | 58/100 | 32% | +7.9% |
| 708 | Veterinary Assistants and Laboratory Animal Caretakers Caregiving · 127K workers |
$38,150 | $53,700est. | 66/100 | 20% | +9.1% |
| 708 | Correspondence Clerks Office & Admin · 4,290 workers |
$46,800 | $53,700est. | 28/100 | 88% | −5.6% |
| 708 | Food Processing Workers, All Other Manufacturing & Repair · 65K workers |
$39,680 | $53,700est. | 55/100 | 50% | +5.5% |
| 711 | Merchandise Displayers and Window Trimmers Design · 165K workers |
$39,390 | $53,600est. | 51/100 | 23% | +2.7% |
| 712 | Office and Administrative Support Workers, All Other Office & Admin · 192K workers |
$45,670 | $53,200est. | 24/100 | 80% | −7.3% |
| 713 | Customer Service Representatives Office & Admin · 2.6M workers |
$44,770 | $53,100est. | 28/100 | 77% | −5.3% |
| 713 | Production Workers, All Other Manufacturing & Repair · 252K workers |
$40,110 | $53,100est. | 40/100 | 50% | +0.8% |
| 715 | Print Binding and Finishing Workers Manufacturing & Repair · 33K workers |
$42,290 | $53,000est. | 26/100 | 39% | −17.5% |
| 716 | Orderlies Caregiving · 52K workers |
$38,290 | $52,900est. | 57/100 | 13% | +4.0% |
| 717 | Demonstrators and Product Promoters Sales · 65K workers |
$39,320 | $52,800est. | 46/100 | 25% | +0.2% |
| 717 | Order Clerks Office & Admin · 75K workers |
$46,170 | $52,800est. | 23/100 | 78% | −17.5% |
| 719 | Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education Education · 479K workers |
$38,140 | $52,700est. | 62/100 | 16% | +4.5% |
| 719 | Cooks, Restaurant Food Service · 1.4M workers |
$37,390 | $52,700est. | 65/100 | 19% | +12.1% |
| 721 | Barbers Beauty & Personal Care · 15K workers |
$38,210 | $52,600est. | 60/100 | 13% | +3.3% |
| 721 | Tailors, Dressmakers, and Custom Sewers Manufacturing & Repair · 14K workers |
$41,640 | $52,600est. | 37/100 | 50% | −8.8% |
| 723 | Photographic Process Workers and Processing Machine Operators Manufacturing & Repair · 4,800 workers |
$40,610 | $52,500est. | 37/100 | 38% | −5.6% |
| 724 | Interviewers, Except Eligibility and Loan Office & Admin · 148K workers |
$45,920 | $52,400est. | 21/100 | 82% | −10.4% |
| 725 | Crossing Guards and Flaggers Protective Services · 94K workers |
$38,100 | $52,300est. | 56/100 | 17% | +3.5% |
| 725 | Office Clerks, General Office & Admin · 2.5M workers |
$45,010 | $52,300est. | 24/100 | 83% | −6.0% |
| 725 | Meat, Poultry, and Fish Cutters and Trimmers Manufacturing & Repair · 146K workers |
$38,300 | $52,300est. | 53/100 | 40% | +5.7% |
| 728 | Passenger Attendants Transportation · 27K workers |
$37,720 | $52,200est. | 60/100 | 23% | +6.0% |
| 729 | Concierges Hospitality · 49K workers |
$38,950 | $52,100est. | 46/100 | 47% | +2.6% |
| 730 | Cooks, All Other Food Service · 19K workers |
$37,690 | $51,900est. | 63/100 | 25% | +5.2% |
| 730 | Parts Salespersons Retail · 270K workers |
$38,630 | $51,900est. | 47/100 | 44% | +3.0% |
| 730 | Door-to-Door Sales Workers, News and Street Vendors, and Related Workers Sales · 2,760 workers |
$41,380 | $51,900est. | 35/100 | 48% | −10.4% |
| 730 | Stockers and Order Fillers Logistics · 2.8M workers |
$37,330 | $51,900est. | 61/100 | 35% | +8.9% |
| 734 | Ophthalmic Laboratory Technicians Manufacturing & Repair · 19K workers |
$39,460 | $51,700est. | 41/100 | 56% | +2.2% |
| 735 | Tire Repairers and Changers Manufacturing & Repair · 108K workers |
$37,710 | $51,500est. | 52/100 | 23% | +3.4% |
| 736 | Shuttle Drivers and Chauffeurs Transportation · 249K workers |
$37,290 | $51,400est. | 63/100 | 37% | +7.1% |
| 737 | Machine Feeders and Offbearers Logistics · 42K workers |
$41,220 | $51,200est. | 28/100 | 50% | −13.1% |
| 738 | Tellers Finance · 329K workers |
$43,030 | $51,000est. | 20/100 | 66% | −13.2% |
| 739 | Cooks, Institution and Cafeteria Food Service · 441K workers |
$37,450 | $50,900est. | 51/100 | 27% | +2.8% |
| 740 | Dietetic Technicians Healthcare · 32K workers |
$37,640 | $50,800est. | 50/100 | 35% | +2.7% |
| 740 | Medical Transcriptionists Caregiving · 42K workers |
$40,410 | $50,800est. | 35/100 | 59% | −4.4% |
| 742 | Security Guards Protective Services · 1.3M workers |
$38,020 | $50,700est. | 41/100 | 39% | +0.9% |
| 742 | Bakers Manufacturing & Repair · 236K workers |
$37,160 | $50,700est. | 55/100 | 38% | +5.5% |
| 744 | Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists Beauty & Personal Care · 306K workers |
$35,790 | $50,400est. | 69/100 | 10% | +7.7% |
| 744 | Manicurists and Pedicurists Beauty & Personal Care · 153K workers |
$35,760 | $50,400est. | 64/100 | 19% | +9.2% |
| 746 | Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners Cleaning & Building Services · 2.2M workers |
$36,840 | $50,200est. | 50/100 | 20% | +2.2% |
| 747 | Motor Vehicle Operators, All Other Transportation · 47K workers |
$37,180 | $50,000est. | 52/100 | 40% | +2.8% |
| 748 | Pharmacy Aides Caregiving · 40K workers |
$37,680 | $49,900est. | 40/100 | 40% | −0.7% |
| 748 | Animal Caretakers · 267K workers |
$35,360 | $49,900est. | 65/100 | 27% | +12.1% |
| 748 | Helpers--Production Workers Manufacturing & Repair · 166K workers |
$39,070 | $49,900est. | 34/100 | 39% | −8.2% |