Projected pay 10 years from now from the Shigoto Zukan model: current pay compounded at an annual rate that reflects projected employment growth, wage momentum and AI replacement risk. (813 occupations)
| # | Occupation | Median pay | In 10 yrs | Outlook | AI risk | Growth (10 yr) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 601 | Adhesive Bonding Machine Operators and Tenders Manufacturing & Repair · 12K workers |
$46,460 | $62,500est. | 46/100 | 30% | +1.3% |
| 601 | Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators Logistics · 774K workers |
$46,420 | $62,500est. | 43/100 | 30% | +1.5% |
| 603 | Pharmacy Technicians Healthcare · 472K workers |
$45,750 | $62,400est. | 54/100 | 45% | +6.4% |
| 604 | Phlebotomists Caregiving · 144K workers |
$45,230 | $62,300est. | 60/100 | 35% | +6.8% |
| 604 | Parking Enforcement Workers Protective Services · 9,050 workers |
$46,730 | $62,300est. | 38/100 | 28% | −1.1% |
| 606 | Computer, Automated Teller, and Office Machine Repairers Manufacturing & Repair · 66K workers |
$47,810 | $62,200est. | 37/100 | 48% | −3.0% |
| 607 | Musical Instrument Repairers and Tuners Manufacturing & Repair · 5,380 workers |
$46,420 | $62,000est. | 47/100 | 44% | +1.9% |
| 608 | Rehabilitation Counselors Social Services · 95K workers |
$46,850 | $61,900est. | 45/100 | 53% | +2.2% |
| 608 | Heat Treating Equipment Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Manufacturing & Repair · 14K workers |
$48,750 | $61,900est. | 30/100 | 37% | −9.5% |
| 610 | Emergency Medical Technicians Healthcare · 181K workers |
$44,470 | $61,800est. | 60/100 | 15% | +5.8% |
| 610 | Transportation Workers, All Other Transportation · 14K workers |
$45,650 | $61,800est. | 56/100 | 40% | +4.0% |
| 612 | Religious Workers, All Other Social Services · 16K workers |
$45,280 | $61,700est. | 60/100 | 15% | +1.5% |
| 612 | Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters Manufacturing & Repair · 77K workers |
$46,680 | $61,700est. | 41/100 | 27% | −2.9% |
| 614 | Coin, Vending, and Amusement Machine Servicers and Repairers Manufacturing & Repair · 26K workers |
$47,450 | $61,600est. | 40/100 | 49% | −3.4% |
| 614 | Drilling and Boring Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Manufacturing & Repair · 4,680 workers |
$49,080 | $61,600est. | 34/100 | 51% | −9.5% |
| 614 | Upholsterers Manufacturing & Repair · 20K workers |
$46,340 | $61,600est. | 40/100 | 22% | −2.3% |
| 614 | Light Truck Drivers Transportation · 983K workers |
$44,860 | $61,600est. | 56/100 | 35% | +6.3% |
| 618 | Craft Artists Design · 4,580 workers |
$46,080 | $61,500est. | 51/100 | 47% | +2.0% |
| 619 | Electronic Equipment Installers and Repairers, Motor Vehicles Manufacturing & Repair · 8,550 workers |
$48,420 | $61,300est. | 33/100 | 24% | −14.5% |
| 619 | Welding, Soldering, and Brazing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Manufacturing & Repair · 32K workers |
$47,920 | $61,300est. | 31/100 | 32% | −8.9% |
| 621 | Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Manufacturing & Repair · 8,930 workers |
$49,030 | $61,200est. | 27/100 | 45% | −17.2% |
| 622 | Extruding, Forming, Pressing, and Compacting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Manufacturing & Repair · 59K workers |
$45,760 | $61,000est. | 40/100 | 44% | +1.5% |
| 623 | Psychiatric Aides Caregiving · 36K workers |
$44,910 | $60,900est. | 51/100 | 24% | +1.9% |
| 623 | Log Graders and Scalers Agriculture · 3,070 workers |
$46,330 | $60,900est. | 44/100 | 39% | −2.2% |
| 623 | Cutting and Slicing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Manufacturing & Repair · 45K workers |
$46,570 | $60,900est. | 41/100 | 51% | −0.9% |
| 626 | Meter Readers, Utilities Logistics · 19K workers |
$48,150 | $60,700est. | 26/100 | 42% | −10.5% |
| 626 | Helpers--Brickmasons, Blockmasons, Stonemasons, and Tile and Marble Setters Construction · 14K workers |
$47,550 | $60,700est. | 38/100 | 15% | −11.7% |
| 628 | First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers Food Service · 1.2M workers |
$44,080 | $60,500est. | 60/100 | 30% | +5.4% |
| 628 | Foundry Mold and Coremakers Manufacturing & Repair · 13K workers |
$48,110 | $60,500est. | 28/100 | 34% | −23.0% |
| 630 | Information and Record Clerks, All Other Office & Admin · 135K workers |
$49,500 | $60,000est. | 35/100 | 80% | +0.8% |
| 631 | Building Cleaning Workers, All Other Cleaning & Building Services · 17K workers |
$44,040 | $59,900est. | 57/100 | 20% | +2.0% |
| 631 | Helpers--Roofers Construction · 6,030 workers |
$44,160 | $59,900est. | 46/100 | 11% | −0.1% |
| 633 | Proofreaders and Copy Markers Office & Admin · 4,580 workers |
$51,120 | $59,600est. | 38/100 | 90% | −0.9% |
| 633 | Extruding and Forming Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Synthetic and Glass Fibers Manufacturing & Repair · 13K workers |
$46,350 | $59,600est. | 30/100 | 53% | −3.3% |
| 635 | Procurement Clerks Finance · 56K workers |
$50,580 | $59,400est. | 23/100 | 76% | −8.1% |
| 636 | Food and Tobacco Roasting, Baking, and Drying Machine Operators and Tenders Manufacturing & Repair · 20K workers |
$44,810 | $59,300est. | 41/100 | 46% | +0.4% |
| 637 | Loan Interviewers and Clerks Office & Admin · 165K workers |
$50,020 | $59,100est. | 24/100 | 83% | −2.4% |
| 637 | Helpers--Carpenters Construction · 22K workers |
$43,780 | $59,100est. | 47/100 | 7% | −1.7% |
| 637 | Taxi Drivers Transportation · 41K workers |
$42,100 | $59,100est. | 65/100 | 40% | +11.5% |
| 640 | Weighers, Measurers, Checkers, and Samplers, Recordkeeping Logistics · 53K workers |
$46,380 | $59,000est. | 29/100 | 54% | −4.8% |
| 641 | Photographers Film & Video · 52K workers |
$44,660 | $58,900est. | 45/100 | 45% | −0.7% |
| 641 | Furniture Finishers Manufacturing & Repair · 14K workers |
$44,540 | $58,900est. | 44/100 | 22% | −3.5% |
| 643 | Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks Accounting & Tax · 1.4M workers |
$50,670 | $58,800est. | 30/100 | 84% | −5.6% |
| 644 | Agricultural Equipment Operators Agriculture · 28K workers |
$41,730 | $58,700est. | 68/100 | 19% | +8.6% |
| 644 | Printing Press Operators Manufacturing & Repair · 144K workers |
$45,780 | $58,700est. | 35/100 | 29% | −8.7% |
| 646 | Protective Service Workers, All Other Protective Services · 82K workers |
$42,540 | $58,600est. | 66/100 | 10% | +3.0% |
| 646 | Court, Municipal, and License Clerks Office & Admin · 180K workers |
$48,700 | $58,600est. | 39/100 | 87% | +3.4% |
| 648 | Metal Workers and Plastic Workers, All Other Manufacturing & Repair · 16K workers |
$45,950 | $58,500est. | 29/100 | 50% | −7.1% |
| 649 | Crematory Operators · 2,970 workers |
$43,650 | $58,400est. | 49/100 | — | +3.1% |
| 649 | Grinding, Lapping, Polishing, and Buffing Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Manufacturing & Repair · 67K workers |
$46,550 | $58,400est. | 26/100 | 45% | −10.8% |