Projected pay 10 years from now from the Shigoto Zukan model: current pay compounded at an annual rate that reflects projected employment growth, wage momentum and AI replacement risk. (813 occupations)
| # | Occupation | Median pay | In 10 yrs | Outlook | AI risk | Growth (10 yr) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 551 | Camera and Photographic Equipment Repairers Manufacturing & Repair · 1,650 workers |
$52,720 | $65,500est. | 28/100 | 50% | −15.5% |
| 552 | Cooks, Private Household Food Service · 1,100 workers |
$47,940 | $65,400est. | 64/100 | 36% | +5.1% |
| 552 | Logging Equipment Operators Agriculture · 21K workers |
$49,740 | $65,400est. | 45/100 | 28% | −3.8% |
| 552 | Helpers--Extraction Workers Construction · 6,700 workers |
$47,730 | $65,400est. | 52/100 | 9% | +1.7% |
| 552 | Automotive Glass Installers and Repairers Manufacturing & Repair · 20K workers |
$47,630 | $65,400est. | 52/100 | 31% | +5.7% |
| 552 | Patternmakers, Wood Manufacturing & Repair · 220 workers |
$49,630 | $65,400est. | 54/100 | 38% | −2.0% |
| 552 | Coating, Painting, and Spraying Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Manufacturing & Repair · 159K workers |
$48,250 | $65,400est. | 49/100 | 28% | +2.5% |
| 558 | Motorboat Operators Transportation · 2,480 workers |
$47,520 | $65,300est. | 61/100 | 26% | +4.9% |
| 559 | Medical Appliance Technicians Manufacturing & Repair · 11K workers |
$48,030 | $65,200est. | 55/100 | 33% | +3.5% |
| 560 | First-Line Supervisors of Personal Service Workers · 114K workers |
$48,590 | $65,100est. | 57/100 | 55% | +6.3% |
| 561 | Eligibility Interviewers, Government Programs Office & Admin · 155K workers |
$54,210 | $65,000est. | 32/100 | 85% | +1.6% |
| 561 | Roustabouts, Oil and Gas Construction · 45K workers |
$46,960 | $65,000est. | 63/100 | 7% | +3.6% |
| 563 | Dispatchers, Except Police, Fire, and Ambulance Logistics · 203K workers |
$50,340 | $64,800est. | 33/100 | 57% | −0.7% |
| 564 | Outdoor Power Equipment and Other Small Engine Mechanics Manufacturing & Repair · 36K workers |
$47,880 | $64,700est. | 49/100 | 31% | +2.3% |
| 565 | Credit Counselors Finance · 28K workers |
$52,230 | $64,600est. | 38/100 | 77% | +3.3% |
| 565 | Carpet Installers Construction · 14K workers |
$50,340 | $64,600est. | 38/100 | 7% | −16.4% |
| 565 | Locksmiths and Safe Repairers Manufacturing & Repair · 15K workers |
$51,320 | $64,600est. | 35/100 | 34% | −11.7% |
| 568 | Furnace, Kiln, Oven, Drier, and Kettle Operators and Tenders Manufacturing & Repair · 14K workers |
$48,040 | $64,500est. | 49/100 | 43% | +2.6% |
| 569 | Medical Assistants Caregiving · 818K workers |
$45,690 | $64,400est. | 63/100 | 43% | +12.9% |
| 569 | Models Sales · 3,780 workers |
$48,470 | $64,400est. | 47/100 | 26% | −2.1% |
| 569 | Sales and Related Workers, All Other Sales · 93K workers |
$48,280 | $64,400est. | 50/100 | 40% | +1.1% |
| 572 | Ophthalmic Medical Technicians Healthcare · 71K workers |
$45,570 | $64,300est. | 67/100 | 38% | +21.4% |
| 572 | Grounds Maintenance Workers, All Other Cleaning & Building Services · 14K workers |
$46,860 | $64,300est. | 63/100 | 20% | +3.7% |
| 574 | Tool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners Manufacturing & Repair · 5,600 workers |
$50,060 | $64,200est. | 33/100 | 43% | −6.8% |
| 575 | Crushing, Grinding, and Polishing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Manufacturing & Repair · 26K workers |
$48,540 | $64,100est. | 38/100 | 35% | −1.7% |
| 576 | Self-Enrichment Teachers Education · 332K workers |
$46,800 | $64,000est. | 61/100 | 22% | +3.5% |
| 576 | Opticians, Dispensing Healthcare · 74K workers |
$47,260 | $64,000est. | 49/100 | 40% | +4.2% |
| 576 | Legal Secretaries and Administrative Assistants Office & Admin · 156K workers |
$55,570 | $64,000est. | 32/100 | 87% | −5.2% |
| 576 | Fiberglass Laminators and Fabricators Manufacturing & Repair · 16K workers |
$46,880 | $64,000est. | 53/100 | 32% | +4.6% |
| 576 | Computer Numerically Controlled Tool Operators Manufacturing & Repair · 169K workers |
$50,690 | $64,000est. | 30/100 | 47% | −9.4% |
| 581 | Skincare Specialists Beauty & Personal Care · 73K workers |
$45,330 | $63,900est. | 73/100 | 12% | +8.8% |
| 581 | Extruding and Drawing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Manufacturing & Repair · 61K workers |
$47,720 | $63,900est. | 42/100 | 32% | +0.7% |
| 581 | Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers Manufacturing & Repair · 597K workers |
$48,570 | $63,900est. | 45/100 | 55% | +2.5% |
| 584 | Psychiatric Technicians Healthcare · 157K workers |
$45,130 | $63,700est. | 67/100 | 22% | +22.3% |
| 584 | Travel Agents Travel & Tourism · 55K workers |
$50,160 | $63,700est. | 41/100 | 63% | +0.2% |
| 584 | Desktop Publishers Office & Admin · 3,350 workers |
$55,290 | $63,700est. | 29/100 | 76% | −14.5% |
| 584 | Manufactured Building and Mobile Home Installers Manufacturing & Repair · 3,020 workers |
$45,990 | $63,700est. | 58/100 | 20% | +5.8% |
| 584 | Rolling Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Manufacturing & Repair · 25K workers |
$50,140 | $63,700est. | 29/100 | 44% | −8.3% |
| 589 | Bus Drivers, School Transportation · 403K workers |
$47,920 | $63,600est. | 43/100 | 45% | +0.7% |
| 590 | Social and Human Service Assistants Social Services · 438K workers |
$45,930 | $63,200est. | 62/100 | 40% | +7.4% |
| 590 | Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Manufacturing & Repair · 17K workers |
$50,620 | $63,200est. | 34/100 | 49% | −11.3% |
| 590 | Mixing and Blending Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Manufacturing & Repair · 95K workers |
$48,990 | $63,200est. | 33/100 | 38% | −6.1% |
| 593 | First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers Retail · 1.1M workers |
$48,520 | $63,000est. | 38/100 | 46% | −3.7% |
| 593 | Dental Laboratory Technicians Manufacturing & Repair · 34K workers |
$49,610 | $63,000est. | 38/100 | 53% | −5.9% |
| 593 | Molders, Shapers, and Casters, Except Metal and Plastic Manufacturing & Repair · 33K workers |
$46,170 | $63,000est. | 59/100 | 41% | +5.8% |
| 596 | Multiple Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Manufacturing & Repair · 125K workers |
$47,180 | $62,800est. | 41/100 | 41% | +0.6% |
| 597 | Pesticide Handlers, Sprayers, and Applicators, Vegetation Cleaning & Building Services · 27K workers |
$46,340 | $62,700est. | 51/100 | 41% | +3.9% |
| 598 | Animal Control Workers Protective Services · 12K workers |
$45,660 | $62,600est. | 58/100 | 23% | +4.0% |
| 598 | Pest Control Workers Cleaning & Building Services · 103K workers |
$45,250 | $62,600est. | 60/100 | 20% | +5.5% |
| 598 | Coil Winders, Tapers, and Finishers Manufacturing & Repair · 13K workers |
$48,220 | $62,600est. | 39/100 | 45% | −4.0% |