Projected pay 10 years from now from the Shigoto Zukan model: current pay compounded at an annual rate that reflects projected employment growth, wage momentum and AI replacement risk. (813 occupations)
| # | Occupation | Median pay | In 10 yrs | Outlook | AI risk | Growth (10 yr) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 451 | Mechanical Door Repairers Manufacturing & Repair · 27K workers |
$55,720 | $77,300est. | 58/100 | 22% | +6.4% |
| 452 | Education and Childcare Administrators, Preschool and Daycare Management & Consulting · 74K workers |
$59,300 | $77,200est. | 37/100 | 47% | −3.1% |
| 452 | Chemical Equipment Operators and Tenders Manufacturing & Repair · 140K workers |
$58,040 | $77,200est. | 49/100 | 53% | +3.6% |
| 454 | Biological Technicians Engineering & Science · 70K workers |
$57,510 | $77,000est. | 62/100 | 57% | +7.4% |
| 454 | Electric Motor, Power Tool, and Related Repairers Manufacturing & Repair · 14K workers |
$56,210 | $77,000est. | 61/100 | 26% | +4.4% |
| 456 | Traffic Technicians Transportation · 7,860 workers |
$59,090 | $76,900est. | 53/100 | 61% | +4.0% |
| 457 | Adult Basic Education, Adult Secondary Education, and English as a Second Language Instructors Education · 37K workers |
$61,540 | $76,800est. | 43/100 | 45% | −13.9% |
| 457 | Tire Builders Manufacturing & Repair · 21K workers |
$57,390 | $76,800est. | 44/100 | 35% | +0.8% |
| 459 | Paralegals and Legal Assistants Legal · 393K workers |
$62,890 | $76,500est. | 40/100 | 77% | −0.3% |
| 460 | Correctional Officers and Jailers Protective Services · 380K workers |
$58,940 | $76,400est. | 36/100 | 24% | −7.4% |
| 460 | Rail Transportation Workers, All Other Transportation · 1,120 workers |
$56,360 | $76,400est. | 57/100 | 40% | +4.4% |
| 462 | Choreographers Entertainment · 2,860 workers |
$55,310 | $76,100est. | 71/100 | 12% | +3.1% |
| 462 | Stonemasons Construction · 7,820 workers |
$57,390 | $76,100est. | 45/100 | 6% | −5.4% |
| 464 | News Analysts, Reporters, and Journalists Writing & Media · 39K workers |
$62,200 | $76,000est. | 35/100 | 66% | −5.9% |
| 464 | Water and Wastewater Treatment Plant and System Operators Manufacturing & Repair · 128K workers |
$60,020 | $76,000est. | 33/100 | 54% | −5.7% |
| 466 | Computer User Support Specialists IT & Software · 717K workers |
$61,860 | $75,800est. | 31/100 | 69% | −3.5% |
| 466 | Broadcast Technicians Film & Video · 21K workers |
$59,570 | $75,800est. | 37/100 | 57% | −3.1% |
| 468 | Hoist and Winch Operators Logistics · 2,600 workers |
$56,450 | $75,700est. | 55/100 | 27% | +0.2% |
| 469 | First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers Protective Services · 81K workers |
$55,940 | $75,600est. | 50/100 | 40% | +3.7% |
| 469 | Bailiffs Protective Services · 17K workers |
$56,600 | $75,600est. | 48/100 | 19% | −1.9% |
| 471 | Fabric and Apparel Patternmakers Manufacturing & Repair · 2,950 workers |
$62,750 | $75,500est. | 31/100 | 61% | −15.0% |
| 472 | Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing Machine Operators Logistics · 105K workers |
$58,470 | $75,300est. | 30/100 | 46% | −5.3% |
| 472 | Bridge and Lock Tenders Transportation · 3,040 workers |
$57,700 | $75,300est. | 38/100 | 49% | −2.3% |
| 474 | Automotive Body and Related Repairers Manufacturing & Repair · 149K workers |
$54,890 | $75,100est. | 53/100 | 24% | +3.7% |
| 475 | Solar Photovoltaic Installers Construction · 31K workers |
$53,140 | $75,000est. | 78/100 | 10% | +36.5% |
| 476 | Tax Examiners and Collectors, and Revenue Agents Accounting & Tax · 57K workers |
$62,370 | $74,900est. | 32/100 | 80% | −1.0% |
| 476 | Environmental Science and Protection Technicians, Including Health Engineering & Science · 35K workers |
$55,090 | $74,900est. | 65/100 | 51% | +6.9% |
| 476 | Morticians, Undertakers, and Funeral Arrangers · 25K workers |
$55,010 | $74,900est. | 59/100 | 26% | +3.0% |
| 479 | Model Makers, Wood Manufacturing & Repair · 280 workers |
$56,550 | $74,800est. | 56/100 | 24% | −3.3% |
| 480 | Brokerage Clerks Office & Admin · 36K workers |
$65,750 | $74,700est. | 31/100 | 88% | −7.6% |
| 481 | Production, Planning, and Expediting Clerks Logistics · 390K workers |
$59,650 | $73,700est. | 34/100 | 70% | −1.3% |
| 482 | Recreational Vehicle Service Technicians Manufacturing & Repair · 17K workers |
$52,000 | $73,200est. | 69/100 | 25% | +9.7% |
| 483 | Community Health Workers Social Services · 62K workers |
$51,850 | $73,100est. | 70/100 | 34% | +12.7% |
| 484 | Surveying and Mapping Technicians Engineering & Science · 58K workers |
$54,240 | $72,700est. | 61/100 | 54% | +5.8% |
| 484 | Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic Manufacturing & Repair · 1,470 workers |
$58,000 | $72,700est. | 35/100 | 38% | −22.8% |
| 486 | Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers Manufacturing & Repair · 416K workers |
$53,750 | $72,600est. | 50/100 | 33% | +2.4% |
| 487 | Paperhangers Construction · 1,570 workers |
$52,140 | $72,300est. | 67/100 | 9% | +4.3% |
| 488 | Title Examiners, Abstractors, and Searchers Legal · 49K workers |
$58,650 | $72,000est. | 40/100 | 78% | +2.1% |
| 489 | Fine Artists, Including Painters, Sculptors, and Illustrators Design · 11K workers |
$55,490 | $71,900est. | 49/100 | 51% | −2.9% |
| 489 | Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators Construction · 42K workers |
$53,340 | $71,900est. | 46/100 | 13% | −0.9% |
| 489 | Audiovisual Equipment Installers and Repairers Manufacturing & Repair · 20K workers |
$52,600 | $71,900est. | 61/100 | 32% | +4.8% |
| 492 | Forest and Conservation Technicians Engineering & Science · 30K workers |
$54,560 | $71,800est. | 49/100 | 39% | −2.1% |
| 493 | Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders Manufacturing & Repair · 17K workers |
$54,430 | $71,400est. | 41/100 | 38% | −2.9% |
| 494 | Counselors, All Other Social Services · 29K workers |
$50,860 | $70,800est. | 74/100 | 15% | +5.9% |
| 494 | Cargo and Freight Agents Logistics · 98K workers |
$52,260 | $70,800est. | 55/100 | 51% | +6.2% |
| 496 | Tree Trimmers and Pruners Cleaning & Building Services · 55K workers |
$50,960 | $70,700est. | 70/100 | 8% | +4.2% |
| 497 | Directors, Religious Activities and Education Social Services · 22K workers |
$52,100 | $70,600est. | 64/100 | 33% | +3.3% |
| 498 | Semiconductor Processing Technicians Manufacturing & Repair · 31K workers |
$51,430 | $70,500est. | 57/100 | 50% | +8.2% |
| 499 | Geological Technicians, Except Hydrologic Technicians Engineering & Science · 6,980 workers |
$53,350 | $70,300est. | 59/100 | 56% | +3.6% |
| 499 | Sailors and Marine Oilers Transportation · 32K workers |
$51,520 | $70,300est. | 60/100 | 24% | +3.2% |