Projected pay 10 years from now from the Shigoto Zukan model: current pay compounded at an annual rate that reflects projected employment growth, wage momentum and AI replacement risk. (813 occupations)
| # | Occupation | Median pay | In 10 yrs | Outlook | AI risk | Growth (10 yr) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401 | Clergy Social Services · 57K workers |
$60,810 | $82,000est. | 65/100 | 35% | +2.4% |
| 401 | Firefighters Protective Services · 346K workers |
$59,280 | $82,000est. | 58/100 | 8% | +3.7% |
| 403 | Drafters, All Other Engineering & Science · 14K workers |
$63,520 | $81,700est. | 37/100 | 35% | −7.3% |
| 404 | Postal Service Clerks Logistics · 74K workers |
$62,130 | $81,300est. | 36/100 | 52% | −0.3% |
| 404 | Tool and Die Makers Manufacturing & Repair · 57K workers |
$64,050 | $81,300est. | 39/100 | 40% | −9.2% |
| 406 | Insulation Workers, Mechanical Construction · 26K workers |
$58,340 | $81,100est. | 58/100 | 11% | +5.1% |
| 407 | Chemical Technicians Engineering & Science · 58K workers |
$60,390 | $81,000est. | 58/100 | 52% | +4.9% |
| 408 | First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers Agriculture · 28K workers |
$59,320 | $80,900est. | 68/100 | 28% | +3.8% |
| 408 | Drywall and Ceiling Tile Installers Construction · 83K workers |
$58,930 | $80,900est. | 56/100 | 10% | +2.5% |
| 410 | Maintenance Workers, Machinery Manufacturing & Repair · 60K workers |
$60,850 | $80,800est. | 46/100 | 28% | −1.9% |
| 410 | Rail Yard Engineers, Dinkey Operators, and Hostlers Transportation · 3,920 workers |
$60,600 | $80,800est. | 41/100 | 40% | +0.8% |
| 412 | Child, Family, and School Social Workers Social Services · 393K workers |
$59,550 | $80,600est. | 58/100 | 43% | +4.4% |
| 413 | First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers Cleaning & Building Services · 131K workers |
$58,430 | $80,500est. | 70/100 | 16% | +4.0% |
| 413 | Timing Device Assemblers and Adjusters Manufacturing & Repair · 250 workers |
$62,620 | $80,500est. | 37/100 | 43% | −6.1% |
| 413 | Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors · 9,760 workers |
$58,170 | $80,500est. | 60/100 | 44% | +9.2% |
| 416 | Farm Labor Contractors Management & Consulting · 310 workers |
$58,460 | $80,300est. | 70/100 | 42% | +7.4% |
| 417 | Judicial Law Clerks Legal · 13K workers |
$64,920 | $80,200est. | 50/100 | 77% | +2.8% |
| 417 | Forest Fire Inspectors and Prevention Specialists Protective Services · 2,780 workers |
$56,870 | $80,200est. | 79/100 | 18% | +13.1% |
| 417 | Derrick Operators, Oil and Gas Construction · 11K workers |
$58,620 | $80,200est. | 52/100 | 10% | +1.6% |
| 420 | Insurance Sales Agents Sales · 479K workers |
$62,280 | $80,100est. | 47/100 | 64% | +3.3% |
| 420 | Postal Service Mail Carriers Logistics · 329K workers |
$60,550 | $80,100est. | 33/100 | 43% | −0.3% |
| 420 | Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity Transportation · 159K workers |
$59,050 | $80,100est. | 57/100 | 38% | +4.1% |
| 423 | Farm Equipment Mechanics and Service Technicians Manufacturing & Repair · 38K workers |
$56,550 | $79,800est. | 71/100 | 22% | +10.7% |
| 424 | Environmental Engineering Technologists and Technicians Engineering & Science · 12K workers |
$59,920 | $79,700est. | 52/100 | 52% | +3.1% |
| 425 | Floor Layers, Except Carpet, Wood, and Hard Tiles Construction · 24K workers |
$56,460 | $79,600est. | 69/100 | 8% | +9.0% |
| 426 | Plasterers and Stucco Masons Construction · 19K workers |
$57,660 | $79,400est. | 56/100 | 8% | +2.8% |
| 426 | Service Unit Operators, Oil and Gas Construction · 43K workers |
$58,160 | $79,400est. | 52/100 | 9% | +1.1% |
| 428 | Graphic Designers Design · 198K workers |
$62,960 | $79,200est. | 40/100 | 63% | −1.7% |
| 428 | Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers Transportation · 2.1M workers |
$58,640 | $79,200est. | 53/100 | 42% | +3.8% |
| 430 | Model Makers, Metal and Plastic Manufacturing & Repair · 2,610 workers |
$63,340 | $79,100est. | 34/100 | 44% | −17.3% |
| 431 | Embalmers · 3,890 workers |
$58,780 | $79,000est. | 57/100 | 28% | +0.7% |
| 432 | Advertising Sales Agents Sales · 92K workers |
$64,820 | $78,900est. | 32/100 | 65% | −7.2% |
| 432 | Motorboat Mechanics and Service Technicians Manufacturing & Repair · 23K workers |
$57,550 | $78,900est. | 64/100 | 29% | +4.9% |
| 432 | Tank Car, Truck, and Ship Loaders Logistics · 11K workers |
$58,870 | $78,900est. | 54/100 | 45% | +2.8% |
| 435 | Community and Social Service Specialists, All Other Social Services · 108K workers |
$56,730 | $78,800est. | 71/100 | 15% | +5.5% |
| 436 | Tile and Stone Setters Construction · 36K workers |
$55,690 | $78,600est. | 69/100 | 11% | +9.8% |
| 437 | Interpreters and Translators Writing & Media · 52K workers |
$60,170 | $78,500est. | 52/100 | 57% | +2.0% |
| 438 | Farm and Home Management Educators Education · 8,220 workers |
$60,220 | $78,400est. | 47/100 | 46% | −3.2% |
| 438 | Extraction Workers, All Other Construction · 5,540 workers |
$57,010 | $78,400est. | 65/100 | 15% | +3.4% |
| 440 | Social Science Research Assistants Engineering & Science · 31K workers |
$61,990 | $78,300est. | 58/100 | 73% | +5.0% |
| 440 | Excavating and Loading Machine and Dragline Operators, Surface Mining Construction · 34K workers |
$57,430 | $78,300est. | 47/100 | 10% | +1.0% |
| 442 | Audio and Video Technicians Film & Video · 70K workers |
$58,100 | $78,200est. | 54/100 | 48% | +3.9% |
| 442 | Glaziers Construction · 58K workers |
$57,080 | $78,200est. | 51/100 | 9% | +1.9% |
| 442 | Reinforcing Iron and Rebar Workers Construction · 14K workers |
$58,970 | $78,200est. | 48/100 | 7% | −5.3% |
| 442 | Machinists Manufacturing & Repair · 287K workers |
$58,750 | $78,200est. | 47/100 | 43% | +1.0% |
| 442 | Airfield Operations Specialists Aviation · 15K workers |
$56,850 | $78,200est. | 63/100 | 44% | +7.8% |
| 447 | Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers Construction · 206K workers |
$57,020 | $77,800est. | 45/100 | 13% | +1.6% |
| 448 | Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons Manufacturing & Repair · 1,080 workers |
$61,290 | $77,700est. | 41/100 | 24% | −13.7% |
| 449 | Survey Researchers · 8,290 workers |
$69,460 | $77,400est. | 28/100 | 99% | −4.8% |
| 449 | Roofers Construction · 135K workers |
$55,440 | $77,400est. | 65/100 | 7% | +5.3% |