Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity

United States SOC 53-3052.00 Transportation Confidence ★★★★★

Also called: Bus Driver, Bus Operator, CDL Bus Driver (Commercial Driver's License Bus Driver), Charter Bus Driver, Charter Coach Driver, Charter Driver, City Bus Driver, Coach Operator

Drive bus or motor coach, including regular route operations, charters, and private carriage.

Median annual pay
$59,050
25th–75th pct. $47,530–$70,700
Top pay (est.)
$110,100
Top 10% $84,700
Pay in 5 years
$68,800est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$80,100est.
$68,900–$93,000
Outlook score
57/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
38%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
+4.1%
21K openings / yr

What bus drivers, transit and intercity do

Drive bus or motor coach, including regular route operations, charters, and private carriage. May assist passengers with baggage. May collect fares or tickets.

Typical tasks

Typical path into the job (BLS)

Education High school diploma or equivalentRelated experience NoneOn-the-job training Moderate-term on-the-job trainingO*NET Job Zone 2

Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity salary

The median annual wage for bus drivers, transit and intercity is $59,050 (BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35, national). The lowest 10 percent earn less than $40,030 and the highest 10 percent earn more than $84,700. The mean annual wage is $60,280.

Median
$59,050
Mean
$60,280
10th percentile
$40,030
Entry level
25th percentile
$47,530
75th percentile
$70,700
90th percentile
$84,700
Top earners
Mean hourly wage
$28.00
3.9× the federal minimum ($7.25)
In Japanese yen
¥9.29M
≈ at 157.25 JPY/USD

The mean hourly wage of $28.00 is 3.9× the federal minimum wage of $7.25. State minimums are higher in most large states. Minimum wage by state →

How does your pay compare with people your age?

Your numbers are not sent or stored. The comparison uses this occupation's BLS wage percentiles, adjusted for age with BLS median weekly earnings by age group (Q3 2026).

Pay by percentile

Entry level (10th pct.)
$40,030
Early career (25th pct.)
$47,530
Mid career (median)
$59,050
Experienced (75th pct.)
$70,700
Top earners (90th pct.)
$84,700

Annual wage percentiles from the BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS). Percentiles are a good proxy for pay by experience.

How median, percentiles and the pay range are defined →

Projected pay for Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $59,050 → in 3 years $64,700 → in 5 years $68,800 → in 10 years $80,100 (10-year range $68,900–$93,000). The model assumes pay growth of +3.1% per year.

$59,050
Now
2026
$64,700
In 3 yrs
2029
$59,700–$70,400
$68,800
In 5 yrs
2031
$62,000–$76,600
$80,100
In 10 yrs
2036
$68,900–$93,000

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand +0.0%AI impact +0.09%Total +3.1% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity

57/100
★★★☆☆
Average · ranked #324 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
47 pts
AI resistance
62 pts
Entry barrier
12 pts
Annual openings
79 pts
Projected growth
65 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Will AI replace Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity? AI replacement risk

38%
Low
Ranked #349 safest from AI among all U.S. occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using O*NET work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Labor demand for Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity

Employment
159K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
173K
2025–35
Projected change
+4.1%
ranked #289 for growth
Annual openings
21K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
High
72/100
Typical entry education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
Moderate-term on-the-job training

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

The same job in Japan

Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity
United States
路線バス運転士
Japan
観光バス運転士
Japan
Median / average pay$59,050¥4.53M
≈ $28,813
¥4.53M
≈ $28,813
Pay in 10 years (est.)$80,100¥6.29M¥6.27M
Outlook score576261
AI replacement risk38% Low28% Low33% Low
Workers159K——

Matched by occupation (SOC code). Yen converted at 157.25 JPY/USD for reference; Japanese figures are averages, U.S. figures are medians, and the surveys define occupations differently.

Skills, education and requirements for Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity

Key skills

Operation and Control
3.1
Operations Monitoring
3.0
Critical Thinking
2.8
Active Listening
2.8
Time Management
2.8
Service Orientation
2.6
Coordination
2.5
Monitoring
2.5

O*NET skill level ratings (0–7).

Key knowledge areas

Customer and Personal Service
5.5
Transportation
4.4
Public Safety and Security
3.3
English Language
3.0
Psychology
2.7
Computers and Electronics
2.5
Administration and Management
2.5
Education and Training
2.3

What the work involves

Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or EquipmentPerforming for or Working Directly with the PublicEstablishing and Maintaining Interpersonal RelationshipsMaking Decisions and Solving ProblemsMonitoring Processes, Materials, or SurroundingsCommunicating with Supervisors, Peers, or SubordinatesInspecting Equipment, Structures, or MaterialsCommunicating with People Outside the Organization

Important abilities

Response OrientationReaction TimeFar VisionMultilimb CoordinationControl PrecisionRate Control

Education of workers

High school diploma
84%
Less than high school
13%
Post-secondary certificate
2%
Some college
1%

Training before entry

1–3 months
60%
Up to 1 month
27%
3–6 months
8%
None / short demo
3%
1–2 years
2%

Related work experience

None
38%
1–2 years
18%
3–6 months
11%
1–3 months
10%
2–4 years
9%
6–12 months
7%
6–8 years
7%

Job Zone 2 — some preparation needed (O*NET)

Difficulty of entry: ★☆☆☆☆ Easy to enter (from education, training, experience and Job Zone)

How to become bus drivers, transit and intercity

Typical education
High school diploma or equivalent
BLS
Related experience
None
On-the-job training
Moderate-term on-the-job training

A step-by-step guide for this occupation is being prepared. The education, training and experience data above show the typical path.

Career path and how to earn more as bus drivers, transit and intercity

Career-path guidance is being prepared. Pay by percentile is shown in the Pay section.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.