Projected pay 10 years from now from the Shigoto Zukan model: current pay compounded at an annual rate that reflects projected employment growth, wage momentum and AI replacement risk. (813 occupations)
| # | Occupation | Median pay | In 10 yrs | Outlook | AI risk | Growth (10 yr) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 | Artists and Related Workers, All Other Design · 6,930 workers |
$71,240 | $94,800est. | 57/100 | 50% | +2.0% |
| 301 | Public Relations Specialists Marketing & PR · 283K workers |
$74,750 | $94,800est. | 45/100 | 66% | +1.8% |
| 303 | Claims Adjusters, Examiners, and Investigators Management & Consulting · 324K workers |
$78,000 | $94,700est. | 35/100 | 69% | −5.5% |
| 304 | Loan Officers Finance · 274K workers |
$76,690 | $94,500est. | 39/100 | 75% | +1.1% |
| 304 | Electrical and Electronics Drafters Engineering & Science · 18K workers |
$76,870 | $94,500est. | 37/100 | 68% | −3.4% |
| 306 | Marriage and Family Therapists Social Services · 67K workers |
$66,940 | $94,400est. | 70/100 | 47% | +13.5% |
| 306 | Real Estate Brokers Real Estate · 46K workers |
$73,220 | $94,400est. | 50/100 | 59% | +0.8% |
| 306 | Underground Mining Machine Operators, All Other Construction · 3,180 workers |
$70,130 | $94,400est. | 56/100 | 15% | −1.0% |
| 309 | Healthcare Social Workers Social Services · 188K workers |
$67,880 | $94,300est. | 70/100 | 34% | +8.5% |
| 309 | Media and Communication Equipment Workers, All Other Film & Video · 12K workers |
$70,720 | $94,300est. | 47/100 | 45% | +1.6% |
| 311 | Sound Engineering Technicians Film & Video · 13K workers |
$73,130 | $94,100est. | 39/100 | 53% | −3.1% |
| 312 | Training and Development Specialists Management & Consulting · 458K workers |
$69,280 | $94,000est. | 66/100 | 58% | +10.8% |
| 313 | Legal Support Workers, All Other Legal · 47K workers |
$72,110 | $93,500est. | 46/100 | 55% | −0.3% |
| 313 | Writers and Authors Writing & Media · 48K workers |
$76,910 | $93,500est. | 48/100 | 77% | −0.3% |
| 315 | Crane and Tower Operators Logistics · 43K workers |
$68,080 | $93,300est. | 59/100 | 22% | +3.8% |
| 316 | Lodging Managers Hospitality · 43K workers |
$69,250 | $93,200est. | 62/100 | 47% | +3.8% |
| 316 | Historians · 3,450 workers |
$76,750 | $93,200est. | 47/100 | 83% | +3.0% |
| 318 | Surgical Assistants Healthcare · 22K workers |
$66,800 | $92,800est. | 62/100 | 19% | +6.1% |
| 319 | Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas Construction · 13K workers |
$67,890 | $92,600est. | 57/100 | 9% | +0.8% |
| 320 | Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers Transportation · 12K workers |
$68,840 | $92,500est. | 47/100 | 29% | +0.8% |
| 321 | Rail Car Repairers Manufacturing & Repair · 21K workers |
$67,530 | $92,100est. | 51/100 | 20% | +2.6% |
| 322 | Athletes and Sports Competitors Sports & Fitness · 15K workers |
$66,710 | $92,000est. | 73/100 | 25% | +5.5% |
| 322 | Precision Instrument and Equipment Repairers, All Other Manufacturing & Repair · 9,400 workers |
$68,990 | $92,000est. | 54/100 | 50% | +2.5% |
| 324 | Hearing Aid Specialists Healthcare · 11K workers |
$65,160 | $91,900est. | 66/100 | 35% | +19.4% |
| 324 | Wellhead Pumpers Logistics · 18K workers |
$69,960 | $91,900est. | 46/100 | 42% | −2.0% |
| 326 | Tapers Construction · 13K workers |
$68,270 | $91,600est. | 47/100 | 15% | −1.6% |
| 327 | Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Workers, All Other Healthcare · 35K workers |
$65,790 | $91,200est. | 62/100 | 15% | +5.1% |
| 328 | Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative Assistants Office & Admin · 460K workers |
$76,590 | $91,100est. | 39/100 | 85% | +0.0% |
| 328 | Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines Manufacturing & Repair · 177K workers |
$65,510 | $91,100est. | 68/100 | 21% | +6.7% |
| 330 | Industrial Machinery Mechanics Manufacturing & Repair · 440K workers |
$64,520 | $91,000est. | 74/100 | 26% | +17.8% |
| 331 | Wind Turbine Service Technicians Manufacturing & Repair · 9,980 workers |
$64,120 | $90,400est. | 74/100 | 33% | +29.5% |
| 332 | Animal Scientists Engineering & Science · 3,100 workers |
$68,940 | $90,200est. | 55/100 | 62% | +5.8% |
| 333 | Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel Sales · 1.3M workers |
$69,990 | $90,000est. | 49/100 | 63% | +2.7% |
| 334 | Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters Construction · 466K workers |
$63,800 | $89,700est. | 76/100 | 7% | +6.8% |
| 334 | Computer Numerically Controlled Tool Programmers Manufacturing & Repair · 28K workers |
$68,120 | $89,700est. | 58/100 | 60% | +5.9% |
| 336 | Surgical Technologists Healthcare · 117K workers |
$64,650 | $89,600est. | 58/100 | 15% | +5.0% |
| 337 | Property, Real Estate, and Community Association Managers Real Estate · 311K workers |
$69,990 | $89,400est. | 58/100 | 67% | +3.7% |
| 337 | Calibration Technologists and Technicians Engineering & Science · 17K workers |
$67,820 | $89,400est. | 57/100 | 58% | +4.8% |
| 339 | Electricians Construction · 757K workers |
$63,190 | $89,100est. | 78/100 | 7% | +9.2% |
| 339 | Flight Attendants Aviation · 132K workers |
$63,580 | $89,100est. | 70/100 | 25% | +8.8% |
| 341 | Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists Social Services · 89K workers |
$66,270 | $89,000est. | 55/100 | 44% | +3.0% |
| 342 | Special Education Teachers, Middle School Education · 95K workers |
$66,810 | $88,700est. | 44/100 | 37% | −0.4% |
| 342 | Teachers and Instructors, All Other Education · 114K workers |
$66,140 | $88,700est. | 58/100 | 25% | −0.2% |
| 344 | Millwrights Manufacturing & Repair · 40K workers |
$65,700 | $88,600est. | 50/100 | 24% | +0.9% |
| 344 | Watch and Clock Repairers Manufacturing & Repair · 1,310 workers |
$67,230 | $88,600est. | 40/100 | 48% | −0.3% |
| 346 | Career/Technical Education Teachers, Secondary School Education · 111K workers |
$66,270 | $88,500est. | 47/100 | 30% | −0.4% |
| 347 | Mechanical Drafters Engineering & Science · 40K workers |
$71,550 | $88,200est. | 36/100 | 63% | −6.0% |
| 347 | Athletic Trainers Healthcare · 30K workers |
$62,520 | $88,200est. | 70/100 | 25% | +12.7% |
| 349 | Lighting Technicians Film & Video · 8,900 workers |
$68,060 | $88,000est. | 39/100 | 45% | −4.8% |
| 350 | Court Reporters and Simultaneous Captioners Writing & Media · 13K workers |
$72,420 | $87,900est. | 41/100 | 78% | −0.1% |