Will AI replace エステティシャン?AI replacement risk 23% and how the work is changing

Japan Beauty & Personal Care Confidence ★★★★★

Average annual pay
¥3.54M
≈ $22,504
Top pay (est.)
¥5.77M
Top 10% ¥5.02M
Pay in 5 years
¥4.13Mest.
2031
Pay in 10 years
¥4.81Mest.
¥4.14M–¥5.59M
Outlook score
46/100
★★☆☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
23%
Low
Labor demand
High
Openings-to-applicants 3.13x

Will AI replace エステティシャン? AI replacement risk

23%
Low
Ranked #104 safest from AI among all Japanese occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using the MHLW job tag survey on work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for エステティシャン

Key skills

Active Listening
4.2
Speaking
3.9
Social Perceptiveness
3.6
Reading Comprehension
3.4
Persuasion
3.4
Instructing
3.3
Writing
3.2
Negotiation
3.1

Skill levels from the MHLW job tag worker survey.

Key knowledge areas

Customer and Personal Service
3.6
Sales and Marketing
2.5
Therapy and Counseling
2.3
Administration and Management
1.7
Psychology
1.7
Administrative
1.6
Communications and Media
1.6
Personnel and Human Resources
1.5

What the work involves

Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal RelationshipsUpdating and Using Relevant KnowledgeMonitoring Processes, Materials, or SurroundingsAssisting and Caring for OthersScheduling Work and ActivitiesOrganizing, Planning, and Prioritizing WorkHandling and Moving ObjectsCommunicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates

Important abilities

Problem SensitivityOral ExpressionManual DexterityOral ComprehensionFinger DexterityWritten Expression

Licenses and certifications (Japan)

Related qualifications listed on job tag (names in Japanese). Some are mandatory, others recommended.

Education of workers

Training before entry

Related work experience

Difficulty of entry: ★★☆☆☆ Fairly easy (from education, training, experience, licenses)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: Basic Survey on Wage Structure (2025), Population Census and Hello Work employment statistics as published on the MHLW job tag site (retrieved Nov 1, 2026); Occupational Information Database (JILPT). Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.