Shigoto Zukan
日本語

Will AI replace 鉄道車掌?AI replacement risk 35% and how the work is changing

Japan Transportation Confidence ★★★★★

Average annual pay
¥5.83M
≈ $37,088
Top pay (est.)
¥10.11M
Top 10% ¥8.68M
Pay in 5 years
¥6.43Mest.
2031
Pay in 10 years
¥7.09Mest.
¥6.10M–¥8.24M
Outlook score
37/100
★★☆☆☆ Below average
AI replacement risk
35%
Low
Labor demand
Low
Openings-to-applicants 0.73x

Will AI replace 鉄道車掌? AI replacement risk

35%
Low
Ranked #181 safest from AI among all Japanese occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using the MHLW job tag survey on work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for 鉄道車掌

Key skills

Active Listening
3.8
Time Management
3.1
Speaking
3.1
Reading Comprehension
2.9
Service Orientation
2.9
Instructing
2.7
Writing
2.6
Operation and Control
2.3

Skill levels from the MHLW job tag worker survey.

Key knowledge areas

Transportation
3.3
Customer and Personal Service
2.0
English Language
1.5
Education and Training
1.5
Foreign Language
1.4
Public Safety and Security
1.2
Communications and Media
1.1
Sociology and Anthropology
0.9

What the work involves

Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or EquipmentUpdating and Using Relevant KnowledgeGetting InformationEvaluating Information to Determine Compliance with StandardsPerforming for or Working Directly with the PublicMonitoring Processes, Materials, or SurroundingsEstablishing and Maintaining Interpersonal RelationshipsCommunicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates

Important abilities

Visual Color DiscriminationProblem SensitivityFar VisionReaction TimeHearing SensitivitySpeech Clarity

Licenses and certifications (Japan)

No specific license or certification is required.

Education of workers

Training before entry

Related work experience

Difficulty of entry: ★★☆☆☆ Fairly easy (from education, training, experience, licenses)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: Basic Survey on Wage Structure (2025), Population Census and Hello Work employment statistics as published on the MHLW job tag site (retrieved Nov 1, 2026); Occupational Information Database (JILPT). Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.