タイル工 job outlookprojected pay in 10 years ¥6.55M · outlook score 66/100 · labor demand

Japan Confidence ★★★☆☆

Average annual pay
¥4.67M
≈ $29,690
Top pay (est.)
¥7.79M
Top 10% ¥6.75M
Pay in 5 years
¥5.53Mest.
2031
Pay in 10 years
¥6.55Mest.
¥5.64M–¥7.61M
Outlook score
66/100
★★★☆☆ Good
AI replacement risk
13%
Very low
Labor demand
Very high
Openings-to-applicants 4.37x

Projected pay for タイル工 (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today ¥4.67M → in 3 years ¥5.17M → in 5 years ¥5.53M → in 10 years ¥6.55M (10-year range ¥5.64M–¥7.61M). The model assumes pay growth of +3.5% per year.

¥4.67M
Now
2026
¥5.17M
In 3 yrs
2029
¥4.77M–¥5.62M
¥5.53M
In 5 yrs
2031
¥4.98M–¥6.16M
¥6.55M
In 10 yrs
2036
¥5.64M–¥7.61M

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +1.8%Labor demand +1.0%Wage momentum +0.37%AI impact +0.28%Total +3.5% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (the job-openings-to-applicants ratio), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for タイル工

66/100
★★★☆☆
Good · ranked #56 of all Japanese occupations
AI resistance
87 pts
Entry barrier
78 pts
Pay level
41 pts
Labor demand
94 pts
Wage momentum
31 pts
Aging workforce
24 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for タイル工

Openings-to-applicants ratio
4.37x
ranked #31 of all Japanese jobs
Demand score
Very high
80/100
Advertised monthly wage
¥288,000
Hello Work postings
Workers
—
Population Census
Average age
41.6
Hours per month
168
Openings in 5 years
+23.9%
est.
Openings in 10 years
+43.0%
est.

A ratio above 1.0 means there are more job openings than applicants (a labor shortage). The 5- and 10-year figures are estimates from the openings ratio, wage momentum and AI replacement risk.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: Basic Survey on Wage Structure (2025), Population Census and Hello Work employment statistics as published on the MHLW job tag site (retrieved Nov 1, 2026); Occupational Information Database (JILPT). Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.