Will AI replace トラックドライバー?AI replacement risk 23% and how the work is changing

Japan Transportation Confidence ★★★★★

Average annual pay
¥5.07M
≈ $32,257
Top pay (est.)
¥8.57M
Top 10% ¥7.41M
Pay in 5 years
¥5.99Mest.
2031
Pay in 10 years
¥7.07Mest.
¥6.08M–¥8.21M
Outlook score
66/100
★★★☆☆ Good
AI replacement risk
23%
Low
Labor demand
High
Openings-to-applicants 2.58x

Will AI replace トラックドライバー? AI replacement risk

23%
Low
Ranked #104 safest from AI among all Japanese occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using the MHLW job tag survey on work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for トラックドライバー

Key skills

Active Listening
2.5
Speaking
2.4
Reading Comprehension
2.4
Equipment Maintenance
2.3
Troubleshooting
2.2
Repairing
2.1
Instructing
2.1
Coordination
2.1

Skill levels from the MHLW job tag worker survey.

Key knowledge areas

Transportation
3.0
Customer and Personal Service
1.0
Education and Training
0.8
English Language
0.8
Sociology and Anthropology
0.7
Personnel and Human Resources
0.6
Production and Processing
0.6
Geography
0.6

What the work involves

Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or EquipmentHandling and Moving ObjectsPerforming General Physical ActivitiesEstablishing and Maintaining Interpersonal RelationshipsOrganizing, Planning, and Prioritizing WorkCommunicating with Supervisors, Peers, or SubordinatesMonitoring Processes, Materials, or SurroundingsEvaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards

Important abilities

Problem SensitivityReaction TimeDepth PerceptionStaminaHearing SensitivityFar Vision

Licenses and certifications (Japan)

Related qualifications listed on job tag (names in Japanese). Some are mandatory, others recommended.

Education of workers

Training before entry

Related work experience

Difficulty of entry: ★★☆☆☆ Fairly easy (from education, training, experience, licenses)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: Basic Survey on Wage Structure (2025), Population Census and Hello Work employment statistics as published on the MHLW job tag site (retrieved Nov 1, 2026); Occupational Information Database (JILPT). Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.