自動運転開発エンジニア(自動車) job outlookprojected pay in 10 years ¥9.05M · outlook score 55/100 · labor demand

Japan Transportation Confidence ★★★★☆

Average annual pay
¥7.25M
≈ $46,127
Top pay (est.)
¥13.15M
Top 10% ¥11.18M
Pay in 5 years
¥8.10Mest.
2031
Pay in 10 years
¥9.05Mest.
¥7.78M–¥10.50M
Outlook score
55/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
61%
High
Labor demand
High
Openings-to-applicants 1.88x

Projected pay for 自動運転開発エンジニア(自動車) (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today ¥7.25M → in 3 years ¥7.75M → in 5 years ¥8.10M → in 10 years ¥9.05M (10-year range ¥7.78M–¥10.50M). The model assumes pay growth of +2.2% per year.

¥7.25M
Now
2026
¥7.75M
In 3 yrs
2029
¥7.16M–¥8.43M
¥8.10M
In 5 yrs
2031
¥7.30M–¥9.02M
¥9.05M
In 10 yrs
2036
¥7.78M–¥10.50M

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +1.8%Labor demand +0.34%Wage momentum +0.42%AI impact -0.33%Total +2.2% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (the job-openings-to-applicants ratio), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for 自動運転開発エンジニア(自動車)

55/100
★★★☆☆
Average · ranked #192 of all Japanese occupations
AI resistance
39 pts
Entry barrier
58 pts
Pay level
89 pts
Labor demand
68 pts
Wage momentum
45 pts
Aging workforce
19 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for 自動運転開発エンジニア(自動車)

Openings-to-applicants ratio
1.88x
ranked #165 of all Japanese jobs
Demand score
High
63/100
Advertised monthly wage
¥308,000
Hello Work postings
Workers
—
Population Census
Average age
41.4
Hours per month
160
Openings in 5 years
+6.4%
est.
Openings in 10 years
+11.5%
est.

A ratio above 1.0 means there are more job openings than applicants (a labor shortage). The 5- and 10-year figures are estimates from the openings ratio, wage momentum and AI replacement risk.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: Basic Survey on Wage Structure (2025), Population Census and Hello Work employment statistics as published on the MHLW job tag site (retrieved Oct 31, 2026); Occupational Information Database (JILPT). Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.