Career/Technical Education Teachers, Secondary School job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $88,500 · outlook score 47/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Education Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$66,270
25th–75th pct. $60,590–$80,060
Top pay (est.)
$131,700
Top 10% $101,340
Pay in 5 years
$76,600est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$88,500est.
$76,100–$102,700
Outlook score
47/100
★★☆☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
30%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
−0.4%
6,400 openings / yr

Projected pay for Career/Technical Education Teachers, Secondary School (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $66,270 → in 3 years $72,300 → in 5 years $76,600 → in 10 years $88,500 (10-year range $76,100–$102,700). The model assumes pay growth of +2.9% per year.

$66,270
Now
2026
$72,300
In 3 yrs
2029
$66,700–$78,600
$76,600
In 5 yrs
2031
$69,000–$85,300
$88,500
In 10 yrs
2036
$76,100–$102,700

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand -0.22%AI impact +0.15%Total +2.9% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Career/Technical Education Teachers, Secondary School

47/100
★★☆☆☆
Average · ranked #554 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
58 pts
AI resistance
70 pts
Entry barrier
83 pts
Annual openings
9 pts
Projected growth
25 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Career/Technical Education Teachers, Secondary School

Employment
111K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
110K
2025–35
Projected change
−0.4%
ranked #612 for growth
Annual openings
6,400
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Low
29/100
Typical entry education
Bachelor's degree
Work experience
Less than 5 years
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.