Projected pay for Carpenters (3, 5 and 10 years)est.
Today $60,580 → in 3 years $66,800 → in 5 years $71,300 → in 10 years $83,800 (10-year range $72,100–$97,300). The model assumes pay growth of +3.3% per year.
$60,580
Now 2026
$66,800
In 3 yrs 2029
$61,700–$72,700
$71,300
In 5 yrs 2031
$64,200–$79,400
$83,800
In 10 yrs 2036
$72,100–$97,300
What drives the annual growth rate
Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand -0.01%AI impact +0.31%Total +3.3% / yr
Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →
Outlook score for Carpenters
67/100
★★★☆☆
Good · ranked #97 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
49 pts
AI resistance
91 pts
Entry barrier
61 pts
Annual openings
55 pts
Projected growth
62 pts
Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.
Labor demand for Carpenters
Employment
670K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
925K
2025–35
Projected change
+3.9%
ranked #308 for growth
Annual openings
63K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
High
66/100
Typical entry education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
Apprenticeship
Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.
Operate one or several types of power construction equipment, such as motor graders, bulldozers, scrapers, compressors, pumps, derricks, shovels, tractors, or front-end loaders to excavate, move, and grade earth, erect structures, or pour concrete or other hard surface pavement.
Paint walls, equipment, buildings, bridges, and other structural surfaces, using brushes, rollers, and spray guns.
$49,400
66/100
9%
Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.