Carpet Installers job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $64,600 · outlook score 38/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Construction Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$50,340
25th–75th pct. $41,970–$66,320
Top pay (est.)
$106,800
Top 10% $82,140
Pay in 5 years
$57,000est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$64,600est.
$55,500–$75,000
Outlook score
38/100
★★☆☆☆ Below average
AI replacement risk
7%
Very low
Job growth (10 yr)
−16.4%
700 openings / yr

Projected pay for Carpet Installers (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $50,340 → in 3 years $54,200 → in 5 years $57,000 → in 10 years $64,600 (10-year range $55,500–$75,000). The model assumes pay growth of +2.5% per year.

$50,340
Now
2026
$54,200
In 3 yrs
2029
$50,100–$59,000
$57,000
In 5 yrs
2031
$51,400–$63,500
$64,600
In 10 yrs
2036
$55,500–$75,000

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand -0.8%AI impact +0.32%Total +2.5% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Carpet Installers

38/100
★★☆☆☆
Below average · ranked #703 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
34 pts
AI resistance
93 pts
Entry barrier
45 pts
Annual openings
6 pts
Projected growth
2 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Carpet Installers

Employment
14K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
14K
2025–35
Projected change
−16.4%
ranked #804 for growth
Annual openings
700
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Very low
7/100
Typical entry education
No formal educational credential
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
Short-term on-the-job training

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.