Shigoto Zukan
日本語

Child, Family, and School Social Workers job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $80,600 · outlook score 58/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Social Services Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$59,550
25th–75th pct. $48,270–$76,070
Top pay (est.)
$124,200
Top 10% $95,530
Pay in 5 years
$69,300est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$80,600est.
$69,300–$93,600
Outlook score
58/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
43%
Moderate
Job growth (10 yr)
+4.4%
34K openings / yr

Projected pay for Child, Family, and School Social Workers (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $59,550 → in 3 years $65,200 → in 5 years $69,300 → in 10 years $80,600 (10-year range $69,300–$93,600). The model assumes pay growth of +3.1% per year.

$59,550
Now
2026
$65,200
In 3 yrs
2029
$60,200–$71,000
$69,300
In 5 yrs
2031
$62,400–$77,200
$80,600
In 10 yrs
2036
$69,300–$93,600

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand +0.02%AI impact +0.05%Total +3.1% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Child, Family, and School Social Workers

58/100
★★★☆☆
Average · ranked #284 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
47 pts
AI resistance
57 pts
Entry barrier
72 pts
Annual openings
43 pts
Projected growth
67 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Child, Family, and School Social Workers

Employment
393K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
423K
2025–35
Projected change
+4.4%
ranked #270 for growth
Annual openings
34K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
High
64/100
Typical entry education
Bachelor's degree
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.