Shigoto Zukan
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Elevator and Escalator Installers and Repairers job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $152,700 · outlook score 71/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Construction Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$109,910
25th–75th pct. $79,290–$135,720
Top pay (est.)
$206,600
Top 10% $158,890
Pay in 5 years
$129,500est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$152,700est.
$131,300–$177,200
Outlook score
71/100
★★★★☆ Good
AI replacement risk
16%
Very low
Job growth (10 yr)
+5.7%
1,900 openings / yr

Projected pay for Elevator and Escalator Installers and Repairers (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $109,910 → in 3 years $121,300 → in 5 years $129,500 → in 10 years $152,700 (10-year range $131,300–$177,200). The model assumes pay growth of +3.3% per year.

$109,910
Now
2026
$121,300
In 3 yrs
2029
$112,000–$132,000
$129,500
In 5 yrs
2031
$116,700–$144,300
$152,700
In 10 yrs
2036
$131,300–$177,200

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand +0.09%AI impact +0.26%Total +3.3% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Elevator and Escalator Installers and Repairers

71/100
★★★★☆
Good · ranked #46 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
89 pts
AI resistance
84 pts
Entry barrier
53 pts
Annual openings
33 pts
Projected growth
77 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Elevator and Escalator Installers and Repairers

Employment
24K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
26K
2025–35
Projected change
+5.7%
ranked #184 for growth
Annual openings
1,900
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Average
56/100
Typical entry education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
Apprenticeship

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.