Shigoto Zukan
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Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers?AI replacement risk 16% and how the work is changing

United States Construction Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$79,920
25th–75th pct. $63,400–$101,460
Top pay (est.)
$166,700
Top 10% $128,260
Pay in 5 years
$94,000est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$110,600est.
$95,100–$128,400
Outlook score
71/100
★★★★☆ Good
AI replacement risk
16%
Very low
Job growth (10 yr)
+5.0%
67K openings / yr

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers? AI replacement risk

16%
Very low
Ranked #98 safest from AI among all U.S. occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using O*NET work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers

Key skills

Management of Personnel Resources
3.9
Coordination
3.9
Speaking
3.8
Reading Comprehension
3.6
Active Listening
3.6
Time Management
3.5
Social Perceptiveness
3.4
Critical Thinking
3.4

O*NET skill level ratings (0–7).

Key knowledge areas

Mechanical
5.0
Building and Construction
4.9
Administration and Management
4.5
Customer and Personal Service
4.3
Design
4.0
Mathematics
3.7
Engineering and Technology
3.7
Public Safety and Security
3.5

What the work involves

Coordinating the Work and Activities of OthersHandling and Moving ObjectsScheduling Work and ActivitiesOrganizing, Planning, and Prioritizing WorkMaking Decisions and Solving ProblemsEstablishing and Maintaining Interpersonal RelationshipsPerforming General Physical ActivitiesCommunicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates

Important abilities

Oral ExpressionOral ComprehensionWritten ComprehensionDeductive ReasoningNear VisionSpeech Clarity

Education of workers

Post-secondary certificate
27%
Less than high school
22%
High school diploma
21%
Associate's degree
12%
Bachelor's degree
10%
Some college
8%

Training before entry

Over 10 years
17%
4–10 years
17%
6–12 months
14%
Up to 1 month
11%
1–2 years
11%
3–6 months
10%
None / short demo
10%
1–3 months
10%

Related work experience

Over 10 years
30%
2–4 years
17%
1–2 years
14%
4–6 years
13%
6–12 months
12%
6–8 years
8%
8–10 years
5%

Job Zone 3 — medium preparation needed (O*NET)

Difficulty of entry: ★★★★☆ Demanding (from education, training, experience and Job Zone)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.