Shigoto Zukan
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Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers?AI replacement risk 16% and how the work is changing

United States Cleaning & Building Services Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$58,430
25th–75th pct. $47,390–$72,590
Top pay (est.)
$111,300
Top 10% $85,650
Pay in 5 years
$68,600est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$80,500est.
$69,200–$93,400
Outlook score
70/100
★★★★☆ Good
AI replacement risk
16%
Very low
Job growth (10 yr)
+4.0%
24K openings / yr

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers? AI replacement risk

16%
Very low
Ranked #98 safest from AI among all U.S. occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using O*NET work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers

Key skills

Speaking
4.0
Management of Personnel Resources
3.9
Active Listening
3.9
Time Management
3.9
Monitoring
3.8
Critical Thinking
3.8
Coordination
3.8
Social Perceptiveness
3.6

O*NET skill level ratings (0–7).

Key knowledge areas

Customer and Personal Service
4.7
Mechanical
4.2
Education and Training
4.0
Public Safety and Security
4.0
Administration and Management
3.8
Administrative
3.8
Mathematics
3.7
Design
3.5

What the work involves

Handling and Moving ObjectsOrganizing, Planning, and Prioritizing WorkCoordinating the Work and Activities of OthersGuiding, Directing, and Motivating SubordinatesScheduling Work and ActivitiesPerforming General Physical ActivitiesCoaching and Developing OthersEstablishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships

Important abilities

Oral ExpressionOral ComprehensionWritten ComprehensionNear VisionVisualizationFar Vision

Education of workers

Bachelor's degree
32%
High school diploma
20%
Associate's degree
14%
Post-secondary certificate
13%
Some college
10%
Post-master's certificate
6%
Less than high school
4%

Training before entry

Up to 1 month
35%
2–4 years
25%
None / short demo
18%
1–3 months
14%
3–6 months
4%
6–12 months
3%

Related work experience

2–4 years
28%
4–6 years
26%
Up to 1 month
13%
1–2 years
11%
None
8%
6–8 years
8%
1–3 months
6%

Job Zone 3 — medium preparation needed (O*NET)

Difficulty of entry: ★★★☆☆ Moderate (from education, training, experience and Job Zone)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.