Will AI replace historians?AI replacement risk 83% and how the work is changing

United States Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$76,750
25th–75th pct. $57,290–$99,990
Top pay (est.)
$171,400
Top 10% $131,810
Pay in 5 years
$84,600est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$93,200est.
$80,100–$108,200
Outlook score
47/100
★★☆☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
83%
Very high
Job growth (10 yr)
+3.0%
300 openings / yr

Will AI replace Historians? AI replacement risk

83%
Very high
Ranked #814 safest from AI among all U.S. occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using O*NET work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for Historians

Key skills

Writing
4.9
Reading Comprehension
4.9
Critical Thinking
4.4
Speaking
4.1
Active Learning
4.0
Active Listening
4.0
Learning Strategies
3.6
Instructing
3.2

O*NET skill level ratings (0–7).

Key knowledge areas

History and Archeology
5.8
Geography
4.7
Sociology and Anthropology
4.7
English Language
4.6
Administrative
4.1
Education and Training
3.7
Computers and Electronics
3.6
Philosophy and Theology
3.5

What the work involves

Communicating with People Outside the OrganizationIdentifying Objects, Actions, and EventsGetting InformationEstablishing and Maintaining Interpersonal RelationshipsUpdating and Using Relevant KnowledgeOrganizing, Planning, and Prioritizing WorkProcessing InformationCommunicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates

Important abilities

Written ComprehensionOral ExpressionWritten ExpressionOral ComprehensionNear VisionInductive Reasoning

Education of workers

Master's degree
64%
Bachelor's degree
10%
Less than high school
9%
Some college
8%
Doctoral degree
7%

Training before entry

None / short demo
15%
1–3 months
12%
1–2 years
7%
3–6 months
4%

Related work experience

2–4 years
31%
3–6 months
14%
6–12 months
11%
None
9%
6–8 years
4%
Over 10 years
2%

Job Zone 5 — extensive preparation needed (O*NET)

Difficulty of entry: ★★★☆☆ Moderate (from education, training, experience and Job Zone)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.