Mechanical Drafters job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $88,200 · outlook score 36/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Engineering & Science Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$71,550
25th–75th pct. $58,080–$86,120
Top pay (est.)
$138,600
Top 10% $106,580
Pay in 5 years
$79,400est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$88,200est.
$75,800–$102,400
Outlook score
36/100
★★☆☆☆ Below average
AI replacement risk
63%
High
Job growth (10 yr)
−6.0%
2,900 openings / yr

Projected pay for Mechanical Drafters (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $71,550 → in 3 years $76,200 → in 5 years $79,400 → in 10 years $88,200 (10-year range $75,800–$102,400). The model assumes pay growth of +2.1% per year.

$71,550
Now
2026
$76,200
In 3 yrs
2029
$70,300–$82,900
$79,400
In 5 yrs
2031
$71,600–$88,500
$88,200
In 10 yrs
2036
$75,800–$102,400

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand -0.5%AI impact -0.39%Total +2.1% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Mechanical Drafters

36/100
★★☆☆☆
Below average · ranked #735 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
62 pts
AI resistance
37 pts
Entry barrier
81 pts
Annual openings
23 pts
Projected growth
11 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Mechanical Drafters

Employment
40K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
40K
2025–35
Projected change
−6.0%
ranked #731 for growth
Annual openings
2,900
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Low
22/100
Typical entry education
Associate's degree
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.