Neurologists job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $339,200 · outlook score 66/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Healthcare Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$248,560
25th–75th pct. $155,990–$357,990
Top pay (est.)
$586,000
Top 10% $450,780
Pay in 5 years
$290,400est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$339,200est.
$291,700–$393,800
Outlook score
66/100
★★★☆☆ Good
AI replacement risk
45%
Moderate
Job growth (10 yr)
+6.4%
300 openings / yr

Projected pay for Neurologists (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $248,560 → in 3 years $272,900 → in 5 years $290,400 → in 10 years $339,200 (10-year range $291,700–$393,800). The model assumes pay growth of +3.2% per year.

$248,560
Now
2026
$272,900
In 3 yrs
2029
$251,900–$296,900
$290,400
In 5 yrs
2031
$261,600–$323,400
$339,200
In 10 yrs
2036
$291,700–$393,800

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand +0.12%AI impact +0.04%Total +3.2% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Neurologists

66/100
★★★☆☆
Good · ranked #114 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
98 pts
AI resistance
55 pts
Entry barrier
99 pts
Annual openings
1 pts
Projected growth
83 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Neurologists

Employment
11K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
12K
2025–35
Projected change
+6.4%
ranked #139 for growth
Annual openings
300
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Average
45/100
Typical entry education
Doctoral or professional degree
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
Internship/residency

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.