Shigoto Zukan
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Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $71,900 · outlook score 46/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Construction Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$53,340
25th–75th pct. $45,610–$64,720
Top pay (est.)
$119,900
Top 10% $92,230
Pay in 5 years
$61,900est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$71,900est.
$61,800–$83,500
Outlook score
46/100
★★☆☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
13%
Very low
Job growth (10 yr)
−0.9%
3,100 openings / yr

Projected pay for Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $53,340 → in 3 years $58,300 → in 5 years $61,900 → in 10 years $71,900 (10-year range $61,800–$83,500). The model assumes pay growth of +3.0% per year.

$53,340
Now
2026
$58,300
In 3 yrs
2029
$53,900–$63,500
$61,900
In 5 yrs
2031
$55,800–$69,000
$71,900
In 10 yrs
2036
$61,800–$83,500

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand -0.25%AI impact +0.28%Total +3.0% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators

46/100
★★☆☆☆
Average · ranked #580 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
39 pts
AI resistance
87 pts
Entry barrier
46 pts
Annual openings
24 pts
Projected growth
24 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators

Employment
42K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
42K
2025–35
Projected change
−0.9%
ranked #621 for growth
Annual openings
3,100
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Low
29/100
Typical entry education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
Moderate-term on-the-job training

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.