Shigoto Zukan
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Pediatricians, General job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $284,000 · outlook score 57/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Healthcare Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$210,040
25th–75th pct. $138,290–$273,700
Top pay (est.)
$440,000
Top 10% $338,500
Pay in 5 years
$244,200est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$284,000est.
$244,200–$329,700
Outlook score
57/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
25%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
+1.5%
1,000 openings / yr

Projected pay for Pediatricians, General (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $210,040 → in 3 years $229,900 → in 5 years $244,200 → in 10 years $284,000 (10-year range $244,200–$329,700). The model assumes pay growth of +3.1% per year.

$210,040
Now
2026
$229,900
In 3 yrs
2029
$212,300–$250,200
$244,200
In 5 yrs
2031
$220,100–$272,000
$284,000
In 10 yrs
2036
$244,200–$329,700

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand -0.12%AI impact +0.19%Total +3.1% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Pediatricians, General

57/100
★★★☆☆
Average · ranked #324 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
97 pts
AI resistance
75 pts
Entry barrier
86 pts
Annual openings
0 pts
Projected growth
37 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Pediatricians, General

Employment
39K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
43K
2025–35
Projected change
+1.5%
ranked #514 for growth
Annual openings
1,000
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Low
28/100
Typical entry education
Doctoral or professional degree
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
Internship/residency

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.