Projected pay for Physicians, All Other (3, 5 and 10 years)est.
Today $265,930 → in 3 years $292,600 → in 5 years $311,800 → in 10 years $365,500 (10-year range $314,400–$424,400). The model assumes pay growth of +3.2% per year.
$265,930
Now 2026
$292,600
In 3 yrs 2029
$270,100–$318,400
$311,800
In 5 yrs 2031
$280,900–$347,300
$365,500
In 10 yrs 2036
$314,400–$424,400
What drives the annual growth rate
Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand -0.03%AI impact +0.26%Total +3.2% / yr
Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →
Outlook score for Physicians, All Other
63/100
★★★☆☆
Average · ranked #172 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
98 pts
AI resistance
85 pts
Annual openings
1 pts
Projected growth
56 pts
Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.
Labor demand for Physicians, All Other
Employment
343K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
380K
2025–35
Projected change
+3.4%
ranked #357 for growth
Annual openings
9,400
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Average
46/100
Typical entry education
Doctoral or professional degree
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
Internship/residency
Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.
Care for ill, injured, or convalescing patients or persons with disabilities in hospitals, nursing homes, clinics, private homes, group homes, and similar institutions.
Assess, plan, organize, and participate in rehabilitative programs that improve mobility, relieve pain, increase strength, and improve or correct disabling conditions resulting from disease or injury.
$102,760
72/100
18%
Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.