Shigoto Zukan
日本語

Will AI replace physicians, pathologists?AI replacement risk 54% and how the work is changing

United States Healthcare Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$312,400
25th–75th pct. $186,300–$372,780
Top pay (est.)
$585,000
Top 10% $449,970
Pay in 5 years
$360,800est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$416,600est.
$358,300–$483,700
Outlook score
59/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
54%
Moderate
Job growth (10 yr)
+4.8%
300 openings / yr

Will AI replace Physicians, Pathologists? AI replacement risk

54%
Moderate
Ranked #573 safest from AI among all U.S. occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using O*NET work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for Physicians, Pathologists

Key skills

Reading Comprehension
5.6
Writing
5.0
Judgment and Decision Making
4.8
Active Learning
4.8
Complex Problem Solving
4.6
Speaking
4.6
Critical Thinking
4.6
Instructing
4.4

O*NET skill level ratings (0–7).

Key knowledge areas

Biology
6.0
Medicine and Dentistry
6.0
English Language
4.7
Education and Training
4.6
Customer and Personal Service
4.2
Chemistry
3.9
Computers and Electronics
3.8
Administration and Management
3.8

What the work involves

Updating and Using Relevant KnowledgeGetting InformationProcessing InformationMaking Decisions and Solving ProblemsIdentifying Objects, Actions, and EventsMonitoring Processes, Materials, or SurroundingsDocumenting/Recording InformationCommunicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates

Important abilities

Inductive ReasoningProblem SensitivityOral ComprehensionOral ExpressionDeductive ReasoningWritten Comprehension

Education of workers

Post-doctoral training
62%
Doctoral degree
29%
Master's degree
6%
Professional degree
3%

Training before entry

3–6 months
32%
Up to 1 month
25%
None / short demo
19%
1–3 months
12%
4–10 years
9%
Over 10 years
2%
2–4 years
1%

Related work experience

4–6 years
47%
None
17%
1–2 years
15%
2–4 years
7%
Over 10 years
7%
6–8 years
5%
8–10 years
1%

Job Zone 5 — extensive preparation needed (O*NET)

Difficulty of entry: ★★★★☆ Demanding (from education, training, experience and Job Zone)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.