Shigoto Zukan
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Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $89,700 · outlook score 76/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Construction Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$63,800
25th–75th pct. $50,190–$85,110
Top pay (est.)
$140,900
Top 10% $108,420
Pay in 5 years
$75,600est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$89,700est.
$77,100–$104,100
Outlook score
76/100
★★★★☆ Good
AI replacement risk
7%
Very low
Job growth (10 yr)
+6.8%
42K openings / yr

Projected pay for Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $63,800 → in 3 years $70,700 → in 5 years $75,600 → in 10 years $89,700 (10-year range $77,100–$104,100). The model assumes pay growth of +3.5% per year.

$63,800
Now
2026
$70,700
In 3 yrs
2029
$65,200–$76,900
$75,600
In 5 yrs
2031
$68,100–$84,200
$89,700
In 10 yrs
2036
$77,100–$104,100

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand +0.14%AI impact +0.32%Total +3.5% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters

76/100
★★★★☆
Good · ranked #16 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
54 pts
AI resistance
93 pts
Entry barrier
84 pts
Annual openings
50 pts
Projected growth
84 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters

Employment
466K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
545K
2025–35
Projected change
+6.8%
ranked #128 for growth
Annual openings
42K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
High
75/100
Typical entry education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
Apprenticeship

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.