Shigoto Zukan
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Recreational Therapists job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $85,800 · outlook score 68/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Healthcare Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$61,960
25th–75th pct. $50,240–$79,930
Top pay (est.)
$130,500
Top 10% $100,420
Pay in 5 years
$72,900est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$85,800est.
$73,800–$99,600
Outlook score
68/100
★★★☆☆ Good
AI replacement risk
14%
Very low
Job growth (10 yr)
+4.8%
1,400 openings / yr

Projected pay for Recreational Therapists (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $61,960 → in 3 years $68,300 → in 5 years $72,900 → in 10 years $85,800 (10-year range $73,800–$99,600). The model assumes pay growth of +3.3% per year.

$61,960
Now
2026
$68,300
In 3 yrs
2029
$63,100–$74,300
$72,900
In 5 yrs
2031
$65,700–$81,200
$85,800
In 10 yrs
2036
$73,800–$99,600

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand +0.04%AI impact +0.27%Total +3.3% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Recreational Therapists

68/100
★★★☆☆
Good · ranked #85 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
51 pts
AI resistance
86 pts
Entry barrier
63 pts
Annual openings
56 pts
Projected growth
70 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Recreational Therapists

Employment
15K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
16K
2025–35
Projected change
+4.8%
ranked #246 for growth
Annual openings
1,400
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Average
57/100
Typical entry education
Bachelor's degree
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.