Shigoto Zukan
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Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $95,800 · outlook score 45/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Education Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$72,040
25th–75th pct. $59,980–$92,570
Top pay (est.)
$139,900
Top 10% $107,600
Pay in 5 years
$83,100est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$95,800est.
$82,400–$111,300
Outlook score
45/100
★★☆☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
36%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
−0.2%
64K openings / yr

Projected pay for Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $72,040 → in 3 years $78,500 → in 5 years $83,100 → in 10 years $95,800 (10-year range $82,400–$111,300). The model assumes pay growth of +2.9% per year.

$72,040
Now
2026
$78,500
In 3 yrs
2029
$72,500–$85,400
$83,100
In 5 yrs
2031
$74,900–$92,500
$95,800
In 10 yrs
2036
$82,400–$111,300

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand -0.21%AI impact +0.1%Total +2.9% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education

45/100
★★☆☆☆
Average · ranked #600 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
63 pts
AI resistance
64 pts
Entry barrier
69 pts
Annual openings
9 pts
Projected growth
27 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education

Employment
1.1M
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
1.1M
2025–35
Projected change
−0.2%
ranked #594 for growth
Annual openings
64K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Low
36/100
Typical entry education
Bachelor's degree
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.