Shigoto Zukan
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Special Education Teachers, Middle School job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $88,700 · outlook score 44/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Education Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$66,810
25th–75th pct. $60,000–$82,800
Top pay (est.)
$133,300
Top 10% $102,510
Pay in 5 years
$77,000est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$88,700est.
$76,300–$103,000
Outlook score
44/100
★★☆☆☆ Below average
AI replacement risk
37%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
−0.4%
6,000 openings / yr

Projected pay for Special Education Teachers, Middle School (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $66,810 → in 3 years $72,700 → in 5 years $77,000 → in 10 years $88,700 (10-year range $76,300–$103,000). The model assumes pay growth of +2.9% per year.

$66,810
Now
2026
$72,700
In 3 yrs
2029
$67,200–$79,200
$77,000
In 5 yrs
2031
$69,400–$85,800
$88,700
In 10 yrs
2036
$76,300–$103,000

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand -0.22%AI impact +0.1%Total +2.9% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Special Education Teachers, Middle School

44/100
★★☆☆☆
Below average · ranked #614 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
58 pts
AI resistance
63 pts
Entry barrier
70 pts
Annual openings
13 pts
Projected growth
25 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Special Education Teachers, Middle School

Employment
95K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
94K
2025–35
Projected change
−0.4%
ranked #612 for growth
Annual openings
6,000
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Low
30/100
Typical entry education
Bachelor's degree
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.