Will AI replace 福祉事務所ケースワーカー?AI replacement risk 36% and how the work is changing

Japan Social Services Confidence ★★★★★

Average annual pay
¥4.42M
≈ $28,086
Top pay (est.)
¥7.30M
Top 10% ¥6.34M
Pay in 5 years
¥5.19Mest.
2031
Pay in 10 years
¥6.11Mest.
¥5.25M–¥7.09M
Outlook score
65/100
★★★☆☆ Good
AI replacement risk
36%
Low
Labor demand
Very high
Openings-to-applicants 2.65x

Will AI replace 福祉事務所ケースワーカー? AI replacement risk

36%
Low
Ranked #190 safest from AI among all Japanese occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using the MHLW job tag survey on work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for 福祉事務所ケースワーカー

Key skills

Active Listening
5.4
Service Orientation
5.1
Persuasion
4.6
Social Perceptiveness
4.6
Speaking
4.6
Coordination
4.5
Instructing
4.2
Complex Problem Solving
4.2

Skill levels from the MHLW job tag worker survey.

Key knowledge areas

Psychology
3.1
Therapy and Counseling
2.9
Administrative
2.8
Sociology and Anthropology
2.6
Customer and Personal Service
2.6
Medicine and Dentistry
2.0
Law and Government
1.9
Education and Training
1.8

What the work involves

Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal RelationshipsAssisting and Caring for OthersCommunicating with Supervisors, Peers, or SubordinatesCommunicating with People Outside the OrganizationUpdating and Using Relevant KnowledgeOrganizing, Planning, and Prioritizing WorkMaking Decisions and Solving ProblemsEvaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards

Important abilities

Problem SensitivityOral ExpressionWritten ExpressionOral ComprehensionDeductive ReasoningTime Sharing

Licenses and certifications (Japan)

No specific license or certification is required.

Education of workers

Training before entry

Related work experience

Difficulty of entry: ★★★☆☆ Moderate (from education, training, experience, licenses)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: Basic Survey on Wage Structure (2025), Population Census and Hello Work employment statistics as published on the MHLW job tag site (retrieved Nov 1, 2026); Occupational Information Database (JILPT). Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.