Will AI replace 送迎バス等運転手?AI replacement risk 18% and how the work is changing

Japan Education Confidence ★★★★★

Average annual pay
¥4.53M
≈ $28,813
Top pay (est.)
¥7.52M
Top 10% ¥6.52M
Pay in 5 years
¥5.36Mest.
2031
Pay in 10 years
¥6.34Mest.
¥5.45M–¥7.36M
Outlook score
65/100
★★★☆☆ Good
AI replacement risk
18%
Very low
Labor demand
High
Openings-to-applicants 2.58x

Will AI replace 送迎バス等運転手? AI replacement risk

18%
Very low
Ranked #75 safest from AI among all Japanese occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using the MHLW job tag survey on work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for 送迎バス等運転手

Key skills

Active Listening
2.3
Equipment Maintenance
2.1
Speaking
2.0
Operation and Control
2.0
Troubleshooting
2.0
Service Orientation
1.9
Coordination
1.9
Writing
1.8

Skill levels from the MHLW job tag worker survey.

Key knowledge areas

Transportation
2.2
Customer and Personal Service
1.1
Psychology
0.8
English Language
0.8
Public Safety and Security
0.7
Geography
0.6
Mechanical
0.6
Communications and Media
0.6

What the work involves

Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or EquipmentCommunicating with Supervisors, Peers, or SubordinatesEvaluating Information to Determine Compliance with StandardsEstablishing and Maintaining Interpersonal RelationshipsScheduling Work and ActivitiesOrganizing, Planning, and Prioritizing WorkCommunicating with People Outside the OrganizationAssisting and Caring for Others

Important abilities

Reaction TimeFar VisionHearing SensitivityProblem SensitivityAuditory AttentionDepth Perception

Licenses and certifications (Japan)

Related qualifications listed on job tag (names in Japanese). Some are mandatory, others recommended.

Education of workers

Training before entry

Related work experience

Difficulty of entry: ★★☆☆☆ Fairly easy (from education, training, experience, licenses)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: Basic Survey on Wage Structure (2025), Population Census and Hello Work employment statistics as published on the MHLW job tag site (retrieved Nov 1, 2026); Occupational Information Database (JILPT). Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.