Will AI replace arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators?AI replacement risk 74% and how the work is changing

United States Legal Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$75,530
25th–75th pct. $57,360–$108,000
Top pay (est.)
$202,100
Top 10% $155,440
Pay in 5 years
$84,700est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$95,000est.
$81,700–$110,200
Outlook score
49/100
★★☆☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
74%
High
Job growth (10 yr)
+4.7%
300 openings / yr

Will AI replace Arbitrators, Mediators, and Conciliators? AI replacement risk

74%
High
Ranked #763 safest from AI among all U.S. occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using O*NET work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for Arbitrators, Mediators, and Conciliators

Key skills

Negotiation
4.9
Speaking
4.9
Critical Thinking
4.8
Active Listening
4.8
Writing
4.5
Reading Comprehension
4.4
Persuasion
4.2
Active Learning
4.0

O*NET skill level ratings (0–7).

Key knowledge areas

English Language
5.6
Law and Government
5.4
Personnel and Human Resources
4.9
Education and Training
3.5
Administration and Management
3.3
Mathematics
3.3
Psychology
3.2
Administrative
3.0

What the work involves

Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with OthersMaking Decisions and Solving ProblemsAnalyzing Data or InformationEvaluating Information to Determine Compliance with StandardsGetting InformationJudging the Qualities of Objects, Services, or PeopleUpdating and Using Relevant KnowledgeEstablishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships

Important abilities

Oral ExpressionOral ComprehensionWritten ComprehensionWritten ExpressionDeductive ReasoningNear Vision

Education of workers

Professional degree
37%
Bachelor's degree
16%
Master's degree
11%
Post-master's certificate
11%
Post-bachelor's certificate
11%
Doctoral degree
5%
Associate's degree
5%
Less than high school
5%

Training before entry

None / short demo
26%
4–10 years
26%
2–4 years
21%
1–2 years
16%
Over 10 years
5%
Up to 1 month
5%

Related work experience

Over 10 years
47%
4–6 years
32%
6–8 years
16%
2–4 years
5%

Job Zone 5 — extensive preparation needed (O*NET)

Difficulty of entry: ★★★★★ Hard to enter (from education, training, experience and Job Zone)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.