Shigoto Zukan
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Art Directors job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $150,100 · outlook score 69/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Design Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$114,850
25th–75th pct. $82,480–$162,640
Top pay (est.)
$277,000
Top 10% $213,050
Pay in 5 years
$131,300est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$150,100est.
$129,000–$174,200
Outlook score
69/100
★★★☆☆ Good
AI replacement risk
60%
Moderate
Job growth (10 yr)
+4.2%
12K openings / yr

Projected pay for Art Directors (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $114,850 → in 3 years $124,400 → in 5 years $131,300 → in 10 years $150,100 (10-year range $129,000–$174,200). The model assumes pay growth of +2.7% per year.

$114,850
Now
2026
$124,400
In 3 yrs
2029
$114,900–$135,400
$131,300
In 5 yrs
2031
$118,300–$146,200
$150,100
In 10 yrs
2036
$129,000–$174,200

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand +0.01%AI impact -0.3%Total +2.7% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Art Directors

69/100
★★★☆☆
Good · ranked #70 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
89 pts
AI resistance
40 pts
Entry barrier
83 pts
Annual openings
95 pts
Projected growth
65 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Art Directors

Employment
53K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
146K
2025–35
Projected change
+4.2%
ranked #282 for growth
Annual openings
12K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
High
72/100
Typical entry education
Bachelor's degree
Work experience
5 years or more
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.