Today $38,210 → in 3 years $42,000 → in 5 years $44,800 → in 10 years $52,600 (10-year range $45,200–$61,000). The model assumes pay growth of +3.2% per year.
$38,210
Now 2026
$42,000
In 3 yrs 2029
$38,800–$45,800
$44,800
In 5 yrs 2031
$40,400–$49,900
$52,600
In 10 yrs 2036
$45,200–$61,000
What drives the annual growth rate
Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand -0.04%AI impact +0.28%Total +3.2% / yr
Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →
Outlook score for Barbers
60/100
★★★☆☆
Average · ranked #231 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
9 pts
AI resistance
87 pts
Entry barrier
26 pts
Annual openings
99 pts
Projected growth
55 pts
Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.
Labor demand for Barbers
Employment
15K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
78K
2025–35
Projected change
+3.3%
ranked #367 for growth
Annual openings
6,900
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
High
63/100
Typical entry education
Postsecondary nondegree award
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None
Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.
Apply makeup to performers to reflect period, setting, and situation of their role.
$97,150
81/100
15%
Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.