Shigoto Zukan
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Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $126,300 · outlook score 68/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Transportation Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$92,460
25th–75th pct. $63,880–$127,180
Top pay (est.)
$221,800
Top 10% $170,640
Pay in 5 years
$108,000est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$126,300est.
$108,600–$146,600
Outlook score
68/100
★★★☆☆ Good
AI replacement risk
28%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
+4.0%
3,800 openings / yr

Projected pay for Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $92,460 → in 3 years $101,500 → in 5 years $108,000 → in 10 years $126,300 (10-year range $108,600–$146,600). The model assumes pay growth of +3.2% per year.

$92,460
Now
2026
$101,500
In 3 yrs
2029
$93,700–$110,500
$108,000
In 5 yrs
2031
$97,400–$120,300
$126,300
In 10 yrs
2036
$108,600–$146,600

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand +0.0%AI impact +0.16%Total +3.2% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels

68/100
★★★☆☆
Good · ranked #85 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
79 pts
AI resistance
72 pts
Entry barrier
64 pts
Annual openings
63 pts
Projected growth
63 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels

Employment
37K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
43K
2025–35
Projected change
+4.0%
ranked #294 for growth
Annual openings
3,800
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
High
60/100
Typical entry education
Postsecondary nondegree award
Work experience
Less than 5 years
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.