Shigoto Zukan
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Data Scientists job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $166,500 · outlook score 65/100 · BLS employment projections

United States AI & Data Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$120,230
25th–75th pct. $85,660–$158,880
Top pay (est.)
$258,900
Top 10% $199,130
Pay in 5 years
$141,500est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$166,500est.
$143,200–$193,300
Outlook score
65/100
★★★☆☆ Good
AI replacement risk
73%
High
Job growth (10 yr)
+34.6%
25K openings / yr

Projected pay for Data Scientists (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $120,230 → in 3 years $132,600 → in 5 years $141,500 → in 10 years $166,500 (10-year range $143,200–$193,300). The model assumes pay growth of +3.3% per year.

$120,230
Now
2026
$132,600
In 3 yrs
2029
$122,400–$144,300
$141,500
In 5 yrs
2031
$127,500–$157,600
$166,500
In 10 yrs
2036
$143,200–$193,300

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand +1.0%AI impact -0.69%Total +3.3% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Data Scientists

65/100
★★★☆☆
Good · ranked #134 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
90 pts
AI resistance
27 pts
Entry barrier
47 pts
Annual openings
57 pts
Projected growth
100 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Data Scientists

Employment
262K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
371K
2025–35
Projected change
+34.6%
ranked #3 for growth
Annual openings
25K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Very high
84/100
Typical entry education
Bachelor's degree
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.