Will AI replace emergency medicine physicians?AI replacement risk 31% and how the work is changing

United States Healthcare Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$335,550
25th–75th pct. $184,830–$418,890
Top pay (est.)
$644,700
Top 10% $495,910
Pay in 5 years
$390,900est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$455,500est.
$391,700–$528,800
Outlook score
62/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
31%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
+3.2%
900 openings / yr

Will AI replace Emergency Medicine Physicians? AI replacement risk

31%
Low
Ranked #268 safest from AI among all U.S. occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using O*NET work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for Emergency Medicine Physicians

Key skills

Reading Comprehension
5.1
Critical Thinking
4.8
Social Perceptiveness
4.8
Active Listening
4.6
Judgment and Decision Making
4.5
Active Learning
4.4
Complex Problem Solving
4.4
Service Orientation
4.2

O*NET skill level ratings (0–7).

Key knowledge areas

Medicine and Dentistry
6.5
Psychology
6.2
Therapy and Counseling
5.5
Biology
5.2
Customer and Personal Service
5.2
English Language
5.2
Education and Training
4.9
Chemistry
4.0

What the work involves

Assisting and Caring for OthersMaking Decisions and Solving ProblemsUpdating and Using Relevant KnowledgeProcessing InformationGetting InformationEstablishing and Maintaining Interpersonal RelationshipsAnalyzing Data or InformationIdentifying Objects, Actions, and Events

Important abilities

Inductive ReasoningProblem SensitivityOral ComprehensionOral ExpressionWritten ComprehensionDeductive Reasoning

Education of workers

Post-doctoral training
62%
Doctoral degree
34%
Professional degree
3%

Training before entry

Up to 1 month
48%
2–4 years
14%
4–10 years
14%
None / short demo
10%
1–3 months
7%
6–12 months
3%
3–6 months
3%

Related work experience

2–4 years
52%
4–6 years
14%
None
10%
6–8 years
7%
8–10 years
7%
Over 10 years
3%
Up to 1 month
3%
1–2 years
3%

Job Zone 5 — extensive preparation needed (O*NET)

Difficulty of entry: ★★★★☆ Demanding (from education, training, experience and Job Zone)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.