Shigoto Zukan
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Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $50,400 · outlook score 69/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Beauty & Personal Care Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$35,790
25th–75th pct. $30,120–$48,830
Top pay (est.)
$92,500
Top 10% $71,190
Pay in 5 years
$42,500est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$50,400est.
$43,400–$58,500
Outlook score
69/100
★★★☆☆ Good
AI replacement risk
10%
Very low
Job growth (10 yr)
+7.7%
73K openings / yr

Projected pay for Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $35,790 → in 3 years $39,700 → in 5 years $42,500 → in 10 years $50,400 (10-year range $43,400–$58,500). The model assumes pay growth of +3.5% per year.

$35,790
Now
2026
$39,700
In 3 yrs
2029
$36,600–$43,200
$42,500
In 5 yrs
2031
$38,300–$47,300
$50,400
In 10 yrs
2036
$43,400–$58,500

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand +0.18%AI impact +0.3%Total +3.5% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists

69/100
★★★☆☆
Good · ranked #70 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
4 pts
AI resistance
90 pts
Entry barrier
29 pts
Annual openings
95 pts
Projected growth
87 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists

Employment
306K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
641K
2025–35
Projected change
+7.7%
ranked #103 for growth
Annual openings
73K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Very high
89/100
Typical entry education
Postsecondary nondegree award
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.