Shigoto Zukan
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Human Resources Specialists job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $100,000 · outlook score 59/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Management & Consulting Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$75,940
25th–75th pct. $58,610–$99,380
Top pay (est.)
$167,300
Top 10% $128,720
Pay in 5 years
$87,100est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$100,000est.
$86,000–$116,100
Outlook score
59/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
61%
High
Job growth (10 yr)
+6.4%
74K openings / yr

Projected pay for Human Resources Specialists (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $75,940 → in 3 years $82,500 → in 5 years $87,100 → in 10 years $100,000 (10-year range $86,000–$116,100). The model assumes pay growth of +2.8% per year.

$75,940
Now
2026
$82,500
In 3 yrs
2029
$76,200–$89,700
$87,100
In 5 yrs
2031
$78,500–$97,100
$100,000
In 10 yrs
2036
$86,000–$116,100

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand +0.12%AI impact -0.33%Total +2.8% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Human Resources Specialists

59/100
★★★☆☆
Average · ranked #261 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
67 pts
AI resistance
39 pts
Entry barrier
75 pts
Annual openings
34 pts
Projected growth
83 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Human Resources Specialists

Employment
912K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
1,000K
2025–35
Projected change
+6.4%
ranked #139 for growth
Annual openings
74K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
High
71/100
Typical entry education
Bachelor's degree
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.