Shigoto Zukan
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Will AI replace light truck drivers?AI replacement risk 35% and how the work is changing

United States Transportation Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$44,860
25th–75th pct. $37,270–$52,310
Top pay (est.)
$104,400
Top 10% $80,310
Pay in 5 years
$52,600est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$61,600est.
$53,000–$71,600
Outlook score
56/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
35%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
+6.3%
107K openings / yr

Will AI replace Light Truck Drivers? AI replacement risk

35%
Low
Ranked #305 safest from AI among all U.S. occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using O*NET work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for Light Truck Drivers

Key skills

Reading Comprehension
3.0
Operation and Control
2.9
Active Listening
2.9
Speaking
2.9
Critical Thinking
2.8
Monitoring
2.8
Time Management
2.6
Operations Monitoring
2.5

O*NET skill level ratings (0–7).

Key knowledge areas

Customer and Personal Service
3.5
Transportation
2.9
English Language
2.9
Mechanical
2.5
Administration and Management
2.5
Production and Processing
2.4
Administrative
2.2
Public Safety and Security
2.1

What the work involves

Handling and Moving ObjectsOperating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or EquipmentPerforming General Physical ActivitiesCommunicating with Supervisors, Peers, or SubordinatesInspecting Equipment, Structures, or MaterialsUpdating and Using Relevant KnowledgeMonitoring Processes, Materials, or SurroundingsDocumenting/Recording Information

Important abilities

Oral ExpressionStatic StrengthFar VisionMultilimb CoordinationTrunk StrengthSpatial Orientation

Education of workers

High school diploma
74%
Less than high school
25%
Associate's degree
1%

Training before entry

6–12 months
6%
3–6 months
5%
None / short demo
1%
1–2 years
1%

Related work experience

6–12 months
22%
1–3 months
17%
3–6 months
8%
Up to 1 month
8%

Job Zone 2 — some preparation needed (O*NET)

Difficulty of entry: ★☆☆☆☆ Easy to enter (from education, training, experience and Job Zone)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.