Shigoto Zukan
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Makeup Artists, Theatrical and Performance job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $135,300 · outlook score 81/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Beauty & Personal Care Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$97,150
25th–75th pct. $34,530–$143,230
Top pay (est.)
$217,700
Top 10% $167,470
Pay in 5 years
$114,600est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$135,300est.
$116,400–$157,100
Outlook score
81/100
★★★★☆ Excellent
AI replacement risk
15%
Very low
Job growth (10 yr)
+6.1%
600 openings / yr

Projected pay for Makeup Artists, Theatrical and Performance (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $97,150 → in 3 years $107,300 → in 5 years $114,600 → in 10 years $135,300 (10-year range $116,400–$157,100). The model assumes pay growth of +3.4% per year.

$97,150
Now
2026
$107,300
In 3 yrs
2029
$99,100–$116,800
$114,600
In 5 yrs
2031
$103,300–$127,700
$135,300
In 10 yrs
2036
$116,400–$157,100

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand +0.1%AI impact +0.26%Total +3.4% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Makeup Artists, Theatrical and Performance

81/100
★★★★☆
Excellent · ranked #4 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
81 pts
AI resistance
85 pts
Entry barrier
45 pts
Annual openings
96 pts
Projected growth
81 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Makeup Artists, Theatrical and Performance

Employment
2,340
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
4,600
2025–35
Projected change
+6.1%
ranked #155 for growth
Annual openings
600
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
High
70/100
Typical entry education
Postsecondary nondegree award
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.