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Medical Assistants job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $64,400 · outlook score 63/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Caregiving Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$45,690
25th–75th pct. $38,470–$49,180
Top pay (est.)
$77,100
Top 10% $59,310
Pay in 5 years
$54,300est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$64,400est.
$55,400–$74,800
Outlook score
63/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
43%
Moderate
Job growth (10 yr)
+12.9%
110K openings / yr

Projected pay for Medical Assistants (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $45,690 → in 3 years $50,700 → in 5 years $54,300 → in 10 years $64,400 (10-year range $55,400–$74,800). The model assumes pay growth of +3.5% per year.

$45,690
Now
2026
$50,700
In 3 yrs
2029
$46,800–$55,100
$54,300
In 5 yrs
2031
$48,900–$60,400
$64,400
In 10 yrs
2036
$55,400–$74,800

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand +0.45%AI impact +0.05%Total +3.5% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Medical Assistants

63/100
★★★☆☆
Average · ranked #172 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
21 pts
AI resistance
57 pts
Entry barrier
36 pts
Annual openings
80 pts
Projected growth
96 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Medical Assistants

Employment
818K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
942K
2025–35
Projected change
+12.9%
ranked #30 for growth
Annual openings
110K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Very high
91/100
Typical entry education
Postsecondary nondegree award
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.