Shigoto Zukan
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Medical Transcriptionists job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $50,800 · outlook score 35/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Caregiving Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$40,410
25th–75th pct. $34,150–$48,000
Top pay (est.)
$72,700
Top 10% $55,950
Pay in 5 years
$45,300est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$50,800est.
$43,700–$59,000
Outlook score
35/100
★★☆☆☆ Below average
AI replacement risk
59%
Moderate
Job growth (10 yr)
−4.4%
6,200 openings / yr

Projected pay for Medical Transcriptionists (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $40,410 → in 3 years $43,300 → in 5 years $45,300 → in 10 years $50,800 (10-year range $43,700–$59,000). The model assumes pay growth of +2.3% per year.

$40,410
Now
2026
$43,300
In 3 yrs
2029
$40,000–$47,100
$45,300
In 5 yrs
2031
$40,800–$50,500
$50,800
In 10 yrs
2036
$43,700–$59,000

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand -0.42%AI impact -0.27%Total +2.3% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Medical Transcriptionists

35/100
★★☆☆☆
Below average · ranked #741 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
12 pts
AI resistance
41 pts
Entry barrier
31 pts
Annual openings
85 pts
Projected growth
14 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Medical Transcriptionists

Employment
42K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
40K
2025–35
Projected change
−4.4%
ranked #703 for growth
Annual openings
6,200
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Average
43/100
Typical entry education
Postsecondary nondegree award
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.