Will AI replace physician assistants?AI replacement risk 39% and how the work is changing

United States Healthcare Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$135,880
25th–75th pct. $120,670–$163,980
Top pay (est.)
$247,400
Top 10% $190,280
Pay in 5 years
$161,400est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$191,700est.
$164,800–$222,500
Outlook score
72/100
★★★★☆ Good
AI replacement risk
39%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
+21.1%
12K openings / yr

Will AI replace Physician Assistants? AI replacement risk

39%
Low
Ranked #363 safest from AI among all U.S. occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using O*NET work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for Physician Assistants

Key skills

Reading Comprehension
4.8
Critical Thinking
4.6
Judgment and Decision Making
4.1
Social Perceptiveness
4.1
Active Learning
4.1
Active Listening
4.1
Service Orientation
4.1
Coordination
4.0

O*NET skill level ratings (0–7).

Key knowledge areas

Medicine and Dentistry
6.5
Psychology
6.0
Therapy and Counseling
6.0
Customer and Personal Service
5.7
Biology
5.7
English Language
5.0
Education and Training
4.9
Chemistry
4.4

What the work involves

Assisting and Caring for OthersUpdating and Using Relevant KnowledgeMaking Decisions and Solving ProblemsGetting InformationIdentifying Objects, Actions, and EventsEstablishing and Maintaining Interpersonal RelationshipsMonitoring Processes, Materials, or SurroundingsAnalyzing Data or Information

Important abilities

Oral ComprehensionInductive ReasoningProblem SensitivityOral ExpressionWritten ComprehensionDeductive Reasoning

Education of workers

Master's degree
81%
Professional degree
14%
Bachelor's degree
5%

Training before entry

Up to 1 month
30%
None / short demo
24%
1–3 months
14%
1–2 years
11%
6–12 months
11%
3–6 months
8%
2–4 years
3%

Related work experience

None
35%
6–12 months
22%
2–4 years
19%
1–2 years
16%
Up to 1 month
3%
1–3 months
3%
3–6 months
3%

Job Zone 5 — extensive preparation needed (O*NET)

Difficulty of entry: ★★★☆☆ Moderate (from education, training, experience and Job Zone)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.