Shigoto Zukan
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Will AI replace probation officers and correctional treatment specialists?AI replacement risk 44% and how the work is changing

United States Social Services Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$66,270
25th–75th pct. $54,250–$84,780
Top pay (est.)
$140,100
Top 10% $107,790
Pay in 5 years
$76,800est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$89,000est.
$76,600–$103,400
Outlook score
55/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
44%
Moderate
Job growth (10 yr)
+3.0%
7,900 openings / yr

Will AI replace Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists? AI replacement risk

44%
Moderate
Ranked #425 safest from AI among all U.S. occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using O*NET work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists

Key skills

Social Perceptiveness
4.4
Reading Comprehension
4.1
Speaking
4.0
Critical Thinking
4.0
Active Listening
4.0
Writing
3.9
Monitoring
3.9
Coordination
3.8

O*NET skill level ratings (0–7).

Key knowledge areas

Psychology
5.3
Therapy and Counseling
5.0
Public Safety and Security
4.8
Law and Government
4.7
English Language
4.4
Customer and Personal Service
4.0
Sociology and Anthropology
3.9
Administrative
3.8

What the work involves

Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing WorkCommunicating with Supervisors, Peers, or SubordinatesEstablishing and Maintaining Interpersonal RelationshipsMaking Decisions and Solving ProblemsDocumenting/Recording InformationEvaluating Information to Determine Compliance with StandardsResolving Conflicts and Negotiating with OthersUpdating and Using Relevant Knowledge

Important abilities

Oral ExpressionOral ComprehensionWritten ExpressionDeductive ReasoningProblem SensitivityWritten Comprehension

Education of workers

Bachelor's degree
88%
Associate's degree
5%
Master's degree
2%
Some college
2%
Post-secondary certificate
2%

Training before entry

6–12 months
27%
1–3 months
23%
3–6 months
23%
None / short demo
14%
1–2 years
6%
Up to 1 month
5%
2–4 years
2%

Related work experience

2–4 years
29%
1–2 years
28%
None
28%
6–12 months
12%
3–6 months
4%

Job Zone 4 — considerable preparation needed (O*NET)

Difficulty of entry: ★★★☆☆ Moderate (from education, training, experience and Job Zone)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.